Unity, a short-lived right-wing party founded in August 2026 by Gilad Erdan and Yuli Edelstein after splitting from Likud, withdrew from the October 27, 2026 Knesset election on September 4 following consistently low polling and unsuccessful alliance talks with Benny Gantz’s Blue and White. The party cited its inability to approach the 3.25% electoral threshold and limited voter appetite for a broad Zionist unity government as reasons for exiting before candidate lists closed. With no slate submitted and surplus-vote agreements finalized among remaining parties, traders assign overwhelming probability to a sub-0.5% vote share. Late developments such as renewed negotiations or a reversal of the withdrawal remain improbable given the fixed timeline and institutional confirmation of the party’s absence from the ballot.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于低于0.5% 96.4%
0.5-0.75% <1%
0.75-1% <1%
1-2% <1%
最新
最新
2026-11-30
低于0.5%
96%
0.5-0.75%
1%
0.75-1%
1%
1-2%
1%
2%及以上
<1%
低于0.5% 96.4%
0.5-0.75% <1%
0.75-1% <1%
1-2% <1%
最新
最新
2026-11-30
低于0.5%
$596 交易量
96%
0.5-0.75%
$162 交易量
1%
0.75-1%
$109 交易量
1%
1-2%
$112 交易量
1%
2%及以上
$223 交易量
<1%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Unity party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Unity's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Unity passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Unity contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Unity merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Unity, a short-lived right-wing party founded in August 2026 by Gilad Erdan and Yuli Edelstein after splitting from Likud, withdrew from the October 27, 2026 Knesset election on September 4 following consistently low polling and unsuccessful alliance talks with Benny Gantz’s Blue and White. The party cited its inability to approach the 3.25% electoral threshold and limited voter appetite for a broad Zionist unity government as reasons for exiting before candidate lists closed. With no slate submitted and surplus-vote agreements finalized among remaining parties, traders assign overwhelming probability to a sub-0.5% vote share. Late developments such as renewed negotiations or a reversal of the withdrawal remain improbable given the fixed timeline and institutional confirmation of the party’s absence from the ballot.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Unity party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Unity's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Unity passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Unity contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Unity merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Unity party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Unity's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Unity passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Unity contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Unity merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
市场开放时间： Sep 8, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
交易量
$1,202结束日期
2026-10-27市场开放时间
Sep 8, 2026, 4:27 PM ETLegislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Unity party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Unity's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Unity passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Unity contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Unity merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Unity, a short-lived right-wing party founded in August 2026 by Gilad Erdan and Yuli Edelstein after splitting from Likud, withdrew from the October 27, 2026 Knesset election on September 4 following consistently low polling and unsuccessful alliance talks with Benny Gantz’s Blue and White. The party cited its inability to approach the 3.25% electoral threshold and limited voter appetite for a broad Zionist unity government as reasons for exiting before candidate lists closed. With no slate submitted and surplus-vote agreements finalized among remaining parties, traders assign overwhelming probability to a sub-0.5% vote share. Late developments such as renewed negotiations or a reversal of the withdrawal remain improbable given the fixed timeline and institutional confirmation of the party’s absence from the ballot.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Unity party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Unity's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Unity passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Unity contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Unity merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Unity party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Unity's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Unity passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Unity contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Unity merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
交易量
$1,202结束日期
2026-10-27市场开放时间
Sep 8, 2026, 4:27 PM ETUnity, a short-lived right-wing party founded in August 2026 by Gilad Erdan and Yuli Edelstein after splitting from Likud, withdrew from the October 27, 2026 Knesset election on September 4 following consistently low polling and unsuccessful alliance talks with Benny Gantz’s Blue and White. The party cited its inability to approach the 3.25% electoral threshold and limited voter appetite for a broad Zionist unity government as reasons for exiting before candidate lists closed. With no slate submitted and surplus-vote agreements finalized among remaining parties, traders assign overwhelming probability to a sub-0.5% vote share. Late developments such as renewed negotiations or a reversal of the withdrawal remain improbable given the fixed timeline and institutional confirmation of the party’s absence from the ballot.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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