Maxine Waters holds a commanding position in California's 43rd congressional district due to the area's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Political Report rating of Solid Democratic and her 2024 general election margin exceeding 50 points. As the long-serving incumbent, she secured the top spot in the June 2026 top-two primary with roughly 64 percent of the vote, advancing alongside Republican manufacturing executive Cristian Morales. The district's voter base in southern Los Angeles County has consistently favored Democratic candidates in recent cycles, limiting the challenger's path despite the open primary format. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors and the absence of major recent polling shifts or controversies. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome before November include unforeseen health developments, late scandals, or an unusually large national Republican wave capable of overcoming the district's partisan baseline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$31,830 交易量
$31,830 交易量
2026-11-02
麦克辛·沃特斯（民主党）
96%
克里斯蒂安·莫拉莱斯（共和党）
3%
$31,830 交易量
$31,830 交易量
2026-11-02
麦克辛·沃特斯（民主党）
$10,935 交易量
96%
克里斯蒂安·莫拉莱斯（共和党）
$20,895 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-43 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maxine Waters holds a commanding position in California's 43rd congressional district due to the area's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Political Report rating of Solid Democratic and her 2024 general election margin exceeding 50 points. As the long-serving incumbent, she secured the top spot in the June 2026 top-two primary with roughly 64 percent of the vote, advancing alongside Republican manufacturing executive Cristian Morales. The district's voter base in southern Los Angeles County has consistently favored Democratic candidates in recent cycles, limiting the challenger's path despite the open primary format. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors and the absence of major recent polling shifts or controversies. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome before November include unforeseen health developments, late scandals, or an unusually large national Republican wave capable of overcoming the district's partisan baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-43 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
交易量
$31,830结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-43 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maxine Waters holds a commanding position in California's 43rd congressional district due to the area's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Political Report rating of Solid Democratic and her 2024 general election margin exceeding 50 points. As the long-serving incumbent, she secured the top spot in the June 2026 top-two primary with roughly 64 percent of the vote, advancing alongside Republican manufacturing executive Cristian Morales. The district's voter base in southern Los Angeles County has consistently favored Democratic candidates in recent cycles, limiting the challenger's path despite the open primary format. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors and the absence of major recent polling shifts or controversies. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome before November include unforeseen health developments, late scandals, or an unusually large national Republican wave capable of overcoming the district's partisan baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-43 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$31,830结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETMaxine Waters holds a commanding position in California's 43rd congressional district due to the area's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Political Report rating of Solid Democratic and her 2024 general election margin exceeding 50 points. As the long-serving incumbent, she secured the top spot in the June 2026 top-two primary with roughly 64 percent of the vote, advancing alongside Republican manufacturing executive Cristian Morales. The district's voter base in southern Los Angeles County has consistently favored Democratic candidates in recent cycles, limiting the challenger's path despite the open primary format. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors and the absence of major recent polling shifts or controversies. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome before November include unforeseen health developments, late scandals, or an unusually large national Republican wave capable of overcoming the district's partisan baseline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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