Incumbent Joe Courtney's long tenure and the Connecticut 2nd District's consistent Democratic lean drive the strong trader consensus favoring his reelection. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting the seat's voting history, Courtney's established constituent relationships, and a substantial fundraising edge over Republican nominee George Austin. Primaries concluded without contests, and no recent polling or campaign events have altered the fundamentals ahead of the November 3 general election. While the implied probability exceeds 90 percent, shifts remain possible from unforeseen developments such as a significant scandal, candidate health issue, or unusually strong national partisan wave that boosts Republican turnout in the eastern Connecticut district.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$14,673 交易量
$14,673 交易量
2026-11-02
乔·考特尼（民主党）
95%
乔治·奥斯汀（共和党）
6%
$14,673 交易量
$14,673 交易量
2026-11-02
乔·考特尼（民主党）
$8,539 交易量
95%
乔治·奥斯汀（共和党）
$6,134 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Joe Courtney's long tenure and the Connecticut 2nd District's consistent Democratic lean drive the strong trader consensus favoring his reelection. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting the seat's voting history, Courtney's established constituent relationships, and a substantial fundraising edge over Republican nominee George Austin. Primaries concluded without contests, and no recent polling or campaign events have altered the fundamentals ahead of the November 3 general election. While the implied probability exceeds 90 percent, shifts remain possible from unforeseen developments such as a significant scandal, candidate health issue, or unusually strong national partisan wave that boosts Republican turnout in the eastern Connecticut district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
交易量
$14,673结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Joe Courtney's long tenure and the Connecticut 2nd District's consistent Democratic lean drive the strong trader consensus favoring his reelection. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting the seat's voting history, Courtney's established constituent relationships, and a substantial fundraising edge over Republican nominee George Austin. Primaries concluded without contests, and no recent polling or campaign events have altered the fundamentals ahead of the November 3 general election. While the implied probability exceeds 90 percent, shifts remain possible from unforeseen developments such as a significant scandal, candidate health issue, or unusually strong national partisan wave that boosts Republican turnout in the eastern Connecticut district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$14,673结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETIncumbent Joe Courtney's long tenure and the Connecticut 2nd District's consistent Democratic lean drive the strong trader consensus favoring his reelection. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting the seat's voting history, Courtney's established constituent relationships, and a substantial fundraising edge over Republican nominee George Austin. Primaries concluded without contests, and no recent polling or campaign events have altered the fundamentals ahead of the November 3 general election. While the implied probability exceeds 90 percent, shifts remain possible from unforeseen developments such as a significant scandal, candidate health issue, or unusually strong national partisan wave that boosts Republican turnout in the eastern Connecticut district.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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