Erdoğan’s current constitutional term as president extends through 2028, with the next scheduled election no later than May 2028. Recent statements from the president and AKP actions signal preparation for an early vote or constitutional steps to enable another candidacy, while legal proceedings have sidelined key opposition figures such as Ekrem İmamoğlu and fragmented the CHP into a new splinter party. AKP gains of mayoral positions and parliamentary defections from opposition ranks further consolidate the ruling coalition’s position ahead of any contest. No verified health, resignation, or institutional developments point to an exit before year-end 2026, aligning trader consensus on continuity through the period.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
7% 概率
$636,501 交易量
$636,501 交易量
2026-12-30
赚 3.25% 收益
是
7% 概率
$636,501 交易量
$636,501 交易量
2026-12-30
赚 3.25% 收益
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Erdoğan’s current constitutional term as president extends through 2028, with the next scheduled election no later than May 2028. Recent statements from the president and AKP actions signal preparation for an early vote or constitutional steps to enable another candidacy, while legal proceedings have sidelined key opposition figures such as Ekrem İmamoğlu and fragmented the CHP into a new splinter party. AKP gains of mayoral positions and parliamentary defections from opposition ranks further consolidate the ruling coalition’s position ahead of any contest. No verified health, resignation, or institutional developments point to an exit before year-end 2026, aligning trader consensus on continuity through the period.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
交易量
$636,501结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ETThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Erdoğan’s current constitutional term as president extends through 2028, with the next scheduled election no later than May 2028. Recent statements from the president and AKP actions signal preparation for an early vote or constitutional steps to enable another candidacy, while legal proceedings have sidelined key opposition figures such as Ekrem İmamoğlu and fragmented the CHP into a new splinter party. AKP gains of mayoral positions and parliamentary defections from opposition ranks further consolidate the ruling coalition’s position ahead of any contest. No verified health, resignation, or institutional developments point to an exit before year-end 2026, aligning trader consensus on continuity through the period.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$636,501结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ETErdoğan’s current constitutional term as president extends through 2028, with the next scheduled election no later than May 2028. Recent statements from the president and AKP actions signal preparation for an early vote or constitutional steps to enable another candidacy, while legal proceedings have sidelined key opposition figures such as Ekrem İmamoğlu and fragmented the CHP into a new splinter party. AKP gains of mayoral positions and parliamentary defections from opposition ranks further consolidate the ruling coalition’s position ahead of any contest. No verified health, resignation, or institutional developments point to an exit before year-end 2026, aligning trader consensus on continuity through the period.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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