Scott Franklin holds a commanding position in the Florida 18th congressional district race due to the seat’s consistent Republican tilt, reflected in the incumbent’s 65 percent margin in 2024 and uniform “Solid Republican” or “Safe” ratings from forecasters. As a sitting member with substantial campaign resources and no primary opposition, Franklin benefits from established name recognition and district voting patterns that have favored Republicans by wide margins in recent cycles. Challenger Curtis Gibson, a former local commissioner, has raised minimal funds and faces structural headwinds in a district where Democratic candidates have struggled to exceed 35 percent. A late scandal, health event, or sharp national swing could theoretically narrow the gap, though current indicators show limited pathways for the underdog to close the distance before the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$39,110 交易量
$39,110 交易量
2026-11-02
斯科特·富兰克林（共和党）
92%
柯蒂斯·吉布森（民主党）
8%
$39,110 交易量
$39,110 交易量
2026-11-02
斯科特·富兰克林（共和党）
$23,543 交易量
92%
柯蒂斯·吉布森（民主党）
$15,567 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Scott Franklin holds a commanding position in the Florida 18th congressional district race due to the seat’s consistent Republican tilt, reflected in the incumbent’s 65 percent margin in 2024 and uniform “Solid Republican” or “Safe” ratings from forecasters. As a sitting member with substantial campaign resources and no primary opposition, Franklin benefits from established name recognition and district voting patterns that have favored Republicans by wide margins in recent cycles. Challenger Curtis Gibson, a former local commissioner, has raised minimal funds and faces structural headwinds in a district where Democratic candidates have struggled to exceed 35 percent. A late scandal, health event, or sharp national swing could theoretically narrow the gap, though current indicators show limited pathways for the underdog to close the distance before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
交易量
$39,110结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Scott Franklin holds a commanding position in the Florida 18th congressional district race due to the seat’s consistent Republican tilt, reflected in the incumbent’s 65 percent margin in 2024 and uniform “Solid Republican” or “Safe” ratings from forecasters. As a sitting member with substantial campaign resources and no primary opposition, Franklin benefits from established name recognition and district voting patterns that have favored Republicans by wide margins in recent cycles. Challenger Curtis Gibson, a former local commissioner, has raised minimal funds and faces structural headwinds in a district where Democratic candidates have struggled to exceed 35 percent. A late scandal, health event, or sharp national swing could theoretically narrow the gap, though current indicators show limited pathways for the underdog to close the distance before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$39,110结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETScott Franklin holds a commanding position in the Florida 18th congressional district race due to the seat’s consistent Republican tilt, reflected in the incumbent’s 65 percent margin in 2024 and uniform “Solid Republican” or “Safe” ratings from forecasters. As a sitting member with substantial campaign resources and no primary opposition, Franklin benefits from established name recognition and district voting patterns that have favored Republicans by wide margins in recent cycles. Challenger Curtis Gibson, a former local commissioner, has raised minimal funds and faces structural headwinds in a district where Democratic candidates have struggled to exceed 35 percent. A late scandal, health event, or sharp national swing could theoretically narrow the gap, though current indicators show limited pathways for the underdog to close the distance before the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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