Oliver Gilbert secured the Democratic nomination for Florida’s 24th congressional district in an August 2026 primary decided by roughly two points, benefiting from an endorsement by retiring longtime representative Frederica Wilson. The open seat lies in a heavily Democratic area encompassing northern Miami-Dade and southern Broward counties, where Democratic candidates have prevailed by wide margins in recent cycles. Forecasters rate the district Solid Democratic, and the Republican nominee, Te Mayonna Brown, advanced without primary opposition. These structural and recent factors underpin trader consensus around a dominant probability for the Democratic nominee ahead of the November 3 general election. A late-breaking scandal, health event, or unprecedented turnout shift would be required to alter the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$34,000 交易量
$34,000 交易量
2026-11-03
奥利弗·吉尔伯特（民主党）
96%
特·梅奥娜·布朗（共和党）
2%
$34,000 交易量
$34,000 交易量
2026-11-03
奥利弗·吉尔伯特（民主党）
$17,885 交易量
96%
特·梅奥娜·布朗（共和党）
$16,115 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oliver Gilbert secured the Democratic nomination for Florida’s 24th congressional district in an August 2026 primary decided by roughly two points, benefiting from an endorsement by retiring longtime representative Frederica Wilson. The open seat lies in a heavily Democratic area encompassing northern Miami-Dade and southern Broward counties, where Democratic candidates have prevailed by wide margins in recent cycles. Forecasters rate the district Solid Democratic, and the Republican nominee, Te Mayonna Brown, advanced without primary opposition. These structural and recent factors underpin trader consensus around a dominant probability for the Democratic nominee ahead of the November 3 general election. A late-breaking scandal, health event, or unprecedented turnout shift would be required to alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
交易量
$34,000结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oliver Gilbert secured the Democratic nomination for Florida’s 24th congressional district in an August 2026 primary decided by roughly two points, benefiting from an endorsement by retiring longtime representative Frederica Wilson. The open seat lies in a heavily Democratic area encompassing northern Miami-Dade and southern Broward counties, where Democratic candidates have prevailed by wide margins in recent cycles. Forecasters rate the district Solid Democratic, and the Republican nominee, Te Mayonna Brown, advanced without primary opposition. These structural and recent factors underpin trader consensus around a dominant probability for the Democratic nominee ahead of the November 3 general election. A late-breaking scandal, health event, or unprecedented turnout shift would be required to alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$34,000结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETOliver Gilbert secured the Democratic nomination for Florida’s 24th congressional district in an August 2026 primary decided by roughly two points, benefiting from an endorsement by retiring longtime representative Frederica Wilson. The open seat lies in a heavily Democratic area encompassing northern Miami-Dade and southern Broward counties, where Democratic candidates have prevailed by wide margins in recent cycles. Forecasters rate the district Solid Democratic, and the Republican nominee, Te Mayonna Brown, advanced without primary opposition. These structural and recent factors underpin trader consensus around a dominant probability for the Democratic nominee ahead of the November 3 general election. A late-breaking scandal, health event, or unprecedented turnout shift would be required to alter the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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