Byron Donalds holds a strong lead in the Florida governor race due to his commanding Republican primary victory, endorsements from President Trump and term-limited Governor Ron DeSantis, and an unmatched fundraising advantage exceeding $100 million. David Jolly, the Democratic nominee and former Republican congressman, faces structural headwinds in a state under continuous GOP control since 1999, including limited cash reserves around $6 million and reliance on crossover appeal among independents. Recent polling from mid-September shows a statistical tie, with Donalds at 44% and Jolly at 43% among likely voters, while prediction markets continue to price in Donalds' edge. Key factors include Republican party infrastructure, voter registration advantages, and ongoing debates over property insurance rates, with the November 3 election still featuring several undecided voters and potential late shifts in turnout.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$88,148 交易量
$88,148 交易量
2026-11-02
拜伦·唐纳兹（共和党）
80%
大卫·乔利（民主党）
21%
$88,148 交易量
$88,148 交易量
2026-11-02
拜伦·唐纳兹（共和党）
$48,488 交易量
80%
大卫·乔利（民主党）
$39,660 交易量
21%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Byron Donalds holds a strong lead in the Florida governor race due to his commanding Republican primary victory, endorsements from President Trump and term-limited Governor Ron DeSantis, and an unmatched fundraising advantage exceeding $100 million. David Jolly, the Democratic nominee and former Republican congressman, faces structural headwinds in a state under continuous GOP control since 1999, including limited cash reserves around $6 million and reliance on crossover appeal among independents. Recent polling from mid-September shows a statistical tie, with Donalds at 44% and Jolly at 43% among likely voters, while prediction markets continue to price in Donalds' edge. Key factors include Republican party infrastructure, voter registration advantages, and ongoing debates over property insurance rates, with the November 3 election still featuring several undecided voters and potential late shifts in turnout.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
交易量
$88,148结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Byron Donalds holds a strong lead in the Florida governor race due to his commanding Republican primary victory, endorsements from President Trump and term-limited Governor Ron DeSantis, and an unmatched fundraising advantage exceeding $100 million. David Jolly, the Democratic nominee and former Republican congressman, faces structural headwinds in a state under continuous GOP control since 1999, including limited cash reserves around $6 million and reliance on crossover appeal among independents. Recent polling from mid-September shows a statistical tie, with Donalds at 44% and Jolly at 43% among likely voters, while prediction markets continue to price in Donalds' edge. Key factors include Republican party infrastructure, voter registration advantages, and ongoing debates over property insurance rates, with the November 3 election still featuring several undecided voters and potential late shifts in turnout.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$88,148结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETByron Donalds holds a strong lead in the Florida governor race due to his commanding Republican primary victory, endorsements from President Trump and term-limited Governor Ron DeSantis, and an unmatched fundraising advantage exceeding $100 million. David Jolly, the Democratic nominee and former Republican congressman, faces structural headwinds in a state under continuous GOP control since 1999, including limited cash reserves around $6 million and reliance on crossover appeal among independents. Recent polling from mid-September shows a statistical tie, with Donalds at 44% and Jolly at 43% among likely voters, while prediction markets continue to price in Donalds' edge. Key factors include Republican party infrastructure, voter registration advantages, and ongoing debates over property insurance rates, with the November 3 election still featuring several undecided voters and potential late shifts in turnout.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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