Melissa Bean holds a commanding lead in the Illinois 8th congressional district race due to the seat's consistent Democratic lean and her March 2026 primary victory, where substantial super PAC support helped her defeat progressive challengers for the open seat vacated by Raja Krishnamoorthi. The district's suburban Chicago composition favors Democratic candidates in general elections, and Bean's prior service representing the area from 2005 to 2011 provides name recognition and established donor networks. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as safe or solid Democratic. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include unusually high Republican turnout, national political shifts affecting down-ballot races, or unforeseen developments in the final weeks before the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$21,818 交易量
$21,818 交易量
2026-11-02
梅利莎·比恩（民主党）
94%
詹妮弗·戴维斯（共和党）
6%
$21,818 交易量
$21,818 交易量
2026-11-02
梅利莎·比恩（民主党）
$9,791 交易量
94%
詹妮弗·戴维斯（共和党）
$12,027 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Melissa Bean holds a commanding lead in the Illinois 8th congressional district race due to the seat's consistent Democratic lean and her March 2026 primary victory, where substantial super PAC support helped her defeat progressive challengers for the open seat vacated by Raja Krishnamoorthi. The district's suburban Chicago composition favors Democratic candidates in general elections, and Bean's prior service representing the area from 2005 to 2011 provides name recognition and established donor networks. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as safe or solid Democratic. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include unusually high Republican turnout, national political shifts affecting down-ballot races, or unforeseen developments in the final weeks before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$21,818结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Melissa Bean holds a commanding lead in the Illinois 8th congressional district race due to the seat's consistent Democratic lean and her March 2026 primary victory, where substantial super PAC support helped her defeat progressive challengers for the open seat vacated by Raja Krishnamoorthi. The district's suburban Chicago composition favors Democratic candidates in general elections, and Bean's prior service representing the area from 2005 to 2011 provides name recognition and established donor networks. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as safe or solid Democratic. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include unusually high Republican turnout, national political shifts affecting down-ballot races, or unforeseen developments in the final weeks before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$21,818结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETMelissa Bean holds a commanding lead in the Illinois 8th congressional district race due to the seat's consistent Democratic lean and her March 2026 primary victory, where substantial super PAC support helped her defeat progressive challengers for the open seat vacated by Raja Krishnamoorthi. The district's suburban Chicago composition favors Democratic candidates in general elections, and Bean's prior service representing the area from 2005 to 2011 provides name recognition and established donor networks. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as safe or solid Democratic. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include unusually high Republican turnout, national political shifts affecting down-ballot races, or unforeseen developments in the final weeks before the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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