Illinois's status as a reliably Democratic state, combined with Juliana Stratton's March primary victory backed by Governor JB Pritzker's endorsement and funding, has produced strong trader consensus for her general election win on November 3. The open seat left by retiring Senator Dick Durbin has not altered the state's partisan tilt, where Republicans have not prevailed in a Senate contest since 2010. Don Tracy secured the Republican nomination but faces structural disadvantages in fundraising and statewide support. Late developments such as major scandals, health issues, or unexpected shifts in voter turnout could still narrow the gap, though forecasters rate the contest as a safe Democratic hold with limited volatility observed since the primaries.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$32,522 交易量
$32,522 交易量
2026-11-02
朱莉安娜·斯特拉顿（民主党）
96%
唐·特雷西（共和党）
4%
$32,522 交易量
$32,522 交易量
2026-11-02
朱莉安娜·斯特拉顿（民主党）
$16,820 交易量
96%
唐·特雷西（共和党）
$15,702 交易量
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Illinois's status as a reliably Democratic state, combined with Juliana Stratton's March primary victory backed by Governor JB Pritzker's endorsement and funding, has produced strong trader consensus for her general election win on November 3. The open seat left by retiring Senator Dick Durbin has not altered the state's partisan tilt, where Republicans have not prevailed in a Senate contest since 2010. Don Tracy secured the Republican nomination but faces structural disadvantages in fundraising and statewide support. Late developments such as major scandals, health issues, or unexpected shifts in voter turnout could still narrow the gap, though forecasters rate the contest as a safe Democratic hold with limited volatility observed since the primaries.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
交易量
$32,522结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Illinois's status as a reliably Democratic state, combined with Juliana Stratton's March primary victory backed by Governor JB Pritzker's endorsement and funding, has produced strong trader consensus for her general election win on November 3. The open seat left by retiring Senator Dick Durbin has not altered the state's partisan tilt, where Republicans have not prevailed in a Senate contest since 2010. Don Tracy secured the Republican nomination but faces structural disadvantages in fundraising and statewide support. Late developments such as major scandals, health issues, or unexpected shifts in voter turnout could still narrow the gap, though forecasters rate the contest as a safe Democratic hold with limited volatility observed since the primaries.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$32,522结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETIllinois's status as a reliably Democratic state, combined with Juliana Stratton's March primary victory backed by Governor JB Pritzker's endorsement and funding, has produced strong trader consensus for her general election win on November 3. The open seat left by retiring Senator Dick Durbin has not altered the state's partisan tilt, where Republicans have not prevailed in a Senate contest since 2010. Don Tracy secured the Republican nomination but faces structural disadvantages in fundraising and statewide support. Late developments such as major scandals, health issues, or unexpected shifts in voter turnout could still narrow the gap, though forecasters rate the contest as a safe Democratic hold with limited volatility observed since the primaries.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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