Jamie Raskin holds a commanding position in the Maryland 8th congressional district race due to the area's entrenched Democratic lean, reflected in its D+30 Partisan Voter Index and consistent results in recent cycles. As the long-serving incumbent, Raskin secured his party's nomination with over 92 percent in the June 2026 primary, while facing limited opposition in the general election against Republican nominee Cheryl Riley. His substantial fundraising edge, exceeding $7 million compared to Riley's under $20,000, further reinforces the consensus reflected in current market pricing. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic. Late developments capable of altering the outcome remain unlikely but could include a major personal or campaign scandal affecting Raskin or an extraordinary national political shift before the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$28,005 交易量
$28,005 交易量
2026-11-02
杰米·拉斯金（民主党）
98%
谢丽尔·赖利（共和党）
3%
$28,005 交易量
$28,005 交易量
2026-11-02
杰米·拉斯金（民主党）
$19,477 交易量
98%
谢丽尔·赖利（共和党）
$8,528 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jamie Raskin holds a commanding position in the Maryland 8th congressional district race due to the area's entrenched Democratic lean, reflected in its D+30 Partisan Voter Index and consistent results in recent cycles. As the long-serving incumbent, Raskin secured his party's nomination with over 92 percent in the June 2026 primary, while facing limited opposition in the general election against Republican nominee Cheryl Riley. His substantial fundraising edge, exceeding $7 million compared to Riley's under $20,000, further reinforces the consensus reflected in current market pricing. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic. Late developments capable of altering the outcome remain unlikely but could include a major personal or campaign scandal affecting Raskin or an extraordinary national political shift before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$28,005结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jamie Raskin holds a commanding position in the Maryland 8th congressional district race due to the area's entrenched Democratic lean, reflected in its D+30 Partisan Voter Index and consistent results in recent cycles. As the long-serving incumbent, Raskin secured his party's nomination with over 92 percent in the June 2026 primary, while facing limited opposition in the general election against Republican nominee Cheryl Riley. His substantial fundraising edge, exceeding $7 million compared to Riley's under $20,000, further reinforces the consensus reflected in current market pricing. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic. Late developments capable of altering the outcome remain unlikely but could include a major personal or campaign scandal affecting Raskin or an extraordinary national political shift before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$28,005结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETJamie Raskin holds a commanding position in the Maryland 8th congressional district race due to the area's entrenched Democratic lean, reflected in its D+30 Partisan Voter Index and consistent results in recent cycles. As the long-serving incumbent, Raskin secured his party's nomination with over 92 percent in the June 2026 primary, while facing limited opposition in the general election against Republican nominee Cheryl Riley. His substantial fundraising edge, exceeding $7 million compared to Riley's under $20,000, further reinforces the consensus reflected in current market pricing. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic. Late developments capable of altering the outcome remain unlikely but could include a major personal or campaign scandal affecting Raskin or an extraordinary national political shift before the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题