The Michigan 7th congressional district remains one of the nation's tightest House races, with recent polling averages showing Republican incumbent Tom Barrett and Democrat William Lawrence separated by just a point or two. Barrett benefits from substantial fundraising and an unopposed primary, while Lawrence secured the Democratic nomination in August after a divided primary that highlighted progressive versus establishment divides. The even partisan lean of the Lansing-area district, combined with mixed early voter turnout signals and overlapping appeals to independents in Livingston and surrounding counties, sustains the near-even trader consensus. Upcoming debates, additional polling, and get-out-the-vote efforts in battleground precincts could shift momentum before November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$20,210 交易量
$20,210 交易量
2026-11-03
汤姆·巴雷特（共和党）
50%
威廉·劳伦斯（民主党）
49%
$20,210 交易量
$20,210 交易量
2026-11-03
汤姆·巴雷特（共和党）
$6,921 交易量
50%
威廉·劳伦斯（民主党）
$13,289 交易量
49%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Michigan 7th congressional district remains one of the nation's tightest House races, with recent polling averages showing Republican incumbent Tom Barrett and Democrat William Lawrence separated by just a point or two. Barrett benefits from substantial fundraising and an unopposed primary, while Lawrence secured the Democratic nomination in August after a divided primary that highlighted progressive versus establishment divides. The even partisan lean of the Lansing-area district, combined with mixed early voter turnout signals and overlapping appeals to independents in Livingston and surrounding counties, sustains the near-even trader consensus. Upcoming debates, additional polling, and get-out-the-vote efforts in battleground precincts could shift momentum before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ET
交易量
$20,210结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Michigan 7th congressional district remains one of the nation's tightest House races, with recent polling averages showing Republican incumbent Tom Barrett and Democrat William Lawrence separated by just a point or two. Barrett benefits from substantial fundraising and an unopposed primary, while Lawrence secured the Democratic nomination in August after a divided primary that highlighted progressive versus establishment divides. The even partisan lean of the Lansing-area district, combined with mixed early voter turnout signals and overlapping appeals to independents in Livingston and surrounding counties, sustains the near-even trader consensus. Upcoming debates, additional polling, and get-out-the-vote efforts in battleground precincts could shift momentum before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$20,210结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETThe Michigan 7th congressional district remains one of the nation's tightest House races, with recent polling averages showing Republican incumbent Tom Barrett and Democrat William Lawrence separated by just a point or two. Barrett benefits from substantial fundraising and an unopposed primary, while Lawrence secured the Democratic nomination in August after a divided primary that highlighted progressive versus establishment divides. The even partisan lean of the Lansing-area district, combined with mixed early voter turnout signals and overlapping appeals to independents in Livingston and surrounding counties, sustains the near-even trader consensus. Upcoming debates, additional polling, and get-out-the-vote efforts in battleground precincts could shift momentum before November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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