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icon for 美国职业棒球大联盟: 2026年战争领袖

美国职业棒球大联盟: 2026年战争领袖

icon for 美国职业棒球大联盟: 2026年战争领袖

美国职业棒球大联盟: 2026年战争领袖

Pete Crow-Armstrong 94%

Dylan Cease 5.0%

Cristopher Sánchez 5.0%

Shohei Ohtani 2.1%

Polymarket
最新

Pete Crow-Armstrong 94%

Dylan Cease 5.0%

Cristopher Sánchez 5.0%

Shohei Ohtani 2.1%

Polymarket
最新

Pete Crow-Armstrong

$339 交易量

94%

Dylan Cease

$94 交易量

5%

Cristopher Sánchez

$26 交易量

5%

Shohei Ohtani

$167 交易量

2%

Chris Sale

$83 交易量

2%

Bobby Witt Jr.

$137 交易量

<1%

Dillon Dingler

$94 交易量

<1%

Jacob Misiorowski

$94 交易量

<1%

Cam Schlittler

$94 交易量

<1%

Yordan Alvarez

$183 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve in favor of the player who finishes the 2026 MLB regular season with the highest Wins Above Replacement (WAR), as calculated by FanGraphs (fWAR). In the event that two or more players are tied for the highest fWAR, this market will resolve to the tied player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to finish with the highest fWAR, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, shortened, or no fWAR leader is determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be FanGraphs (https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders/war); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Pete Crow-Armstrong’s dominant 2026 campaign with the Chicago Cubs has driven overwhelming trader consensus in the WAR leader market. Through mid-September, the 24-year-old center fielder leads MLB with roughly 9–10 fWAR, fueled by a .279/.373/.566 slash line, 41 home runs, 36 stolen bases, elite center-field defense, and baserunning value that outpaces the field by multiple wins. His second-half power surge and historical pace toward a 10-win season—last achieved in the NL by Barry Bonds—have widened the gap over pitchers such as Cristopher Sánchez and Dylan Cease, as well as position players including Shohei Ohtani. Late-season injury, prolonged slump, or an unforeseen surge from another contender remain the primary realistic paths to altering the outcome.

This market will resolve in favor of the player who finishes the 2026 MLB regular season with the highest Wins Above Replacement (WAR), as calculated by FanGraphs (fWAR).

In the event that two or more players are tied for the highest fWAR, this market will resolve to the tied player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to finish with the highest fWAR, the corresponding market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, shortened, or no fWAR leader is determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be FanGraphs (https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders/war); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve in favor of the player who finishes the 2026 MLB regular season with the highest Wins Above Replacement (WAR), as calculated by FanGraphs (fWAR). In the event that two or more players are tied for the highest fWAR, this market will resolve to the tied player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to finish with the highest fWAR, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, shortened, or no fWAR leader is determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be FanGraphs (https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders/war); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$1,311
结束日期
2026-09-27
市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 3:59 PM ET
This market will resolve in favor of the player who finishes the 2026 MLB regular season with the highest Wins Above Replacement (WAR), as calculated by FanGraphs (fWAR). In the event that two or more players are tied for the highest fWAR, this market will resolve to the tied player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to finish with the highest fWAR, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, shortened, or no fWAR leader is determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be FanGraphs (https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders/war); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Pete Crow-Armstrong’s dominant 2026 campaign with the Chicago Cubs has driven overwhelming trader consensus in the WAR leader market. Through mid-September, the 24-year-old center fielder leads MLB with roughly 9–10 fWAR, fueled by a .279/.373/.566 slash line, 41 home runs, 36 stolen bases, elite center-field defense, and baserunning value that outpaces the field by multiple wins. His second-half power surge and historical pace toward a 10-win season—last achieved in the NL by Barry Bonds—have widened the gap over pitchers such as Cristopher Sánchez and Dylan Cease, as well as position players including Shohei Ohtani. Late-season injury, prolonged slump, or an unforeseen surge from another contender remain the primary realistic paths to altering the outcome.

This market will resolve in favor of the player who finishes the 2026 MLB regular season with the highest Wins Above Replacement (WAR), as calculated by FanGraphs (fWAR).

In the event that two or more players are tied for the highest fWAR, this market will resolve to the tied player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to finish with the highest fWAR, the corresponding market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, shortened, or no fWAR leader is determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be FanGraphs (https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders/war); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve in favor of the player who finishes the 2026 MLB regular season with the highest Wins Above Replacement (WAR), as calculated by FanGraphs (fWAR). In the event that two or more players are tied for the highest fWAR, this market will resolve to the tied player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to finish with the highest fWAR, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, shortened, or no fWAR leader is determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be FanGraphs (https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders/war); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$1,311
结束日期
2026-09-27
市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 3:59 PM ET

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常见问题

"美国职业棒球大联盟: 2026年战争领袖"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 10 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"Pete Crow-Armstrong",概率为 94%,其次是"Dylan Cease",概率为 5%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 94¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 94%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"美国职业棒球大联盟: 2026年战争领袖"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Aug 28, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"美国职业棒球大联盟: 2026年战争领袖"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 10 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"美国职业棒球大联盟: 2026年战争领袖"的当前领先者是"Pete Crow-Armstrong",概率为 94%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 94%。紧随其后的结果是"Dylan Cease",概率为 5%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"美国职业棒球大联盟: 2026年战争领袖"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。