Pete Stauber holds a strong position in Minnesota’s 8th Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, backed by the seat’s R+7 partisan voting index and his consistent prior victories, including a 58% share in 2024. Both candidates cleared their August 11 primaries with wide margins—Stauber defeating a minor challenger and Trina Swanson securing the Democratic nomination—leaving little uncertainty about the matchup. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Safe or Likely Republican, reflecting the district’s rural and Iron Range base plus the incumbent’s established campaign infrastructure. Swanson’s background as a former federal immigration official and her focus on local economic issues have not yet produced measurable shifts in the race’s fundamentals. With roughly seven weeks remaining, trader consensus aligns with the structural Republican advantage and absence of late-breaking developments that would typically narrow the gap.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$21,160 交易量
$21,160 交易量
2026-11-02
皮特·斯陶伯（共和党）
86%
特丽娜·斯旺森（民主党）
14%
$21,160 交易量
$21,160 交易量
2026-11-02
皮特·斯陶伯（共和党）
$11,288 交易量
86%
特丽娜·斯旺森（民主党）
$9,873 交易量
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Pete Stauber holds a strong position in Minnesota’s 8th Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, backed by the seat’s R+7 partisan voting index and his consistent prior victories, including a 58% share in 2024. Both candidates cleared their August 11 primaries with wide margins—Stauber defeating a minor challenger and Trina Swanson securing the Democratic nomination—leaving little uncertainty about the matchup. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Safe or Likely Republican, reflecting the district’s rural and Iron Range base plus the incumbent’s established campaign infrastructure. Swanson’s background as a former federal immigration official and her focus on local economic issues have not yet produced measurable shifts in the race’s fundamentals. With roughly seven weeks remaining, trader consensus aligns with the structural Republican advantage and absence of late-breaking developments that would typically narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$21,160结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Pete Stauber holds a strong position in Minnesota’s 8th Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, backed by the seat’s R+7 partisan voting index and his consistent prior victories, including a 58% share in 2024. Both candidates cleared their August 11 primaries with wide margins—Stauber defeating a minor challenger and Trina Swanson securing the Democratic nomination—leaving little uncertainty about the matchup. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Safe or Likely Republican, reflecting the district’s rural and Iron Range base plus the incumbent’s established campaign infrastructure. Swanson’s background as a former federal immigration official and her focus on local economic issues have not yet produced measurable shifts in the race’s fundamentals. With roughly seven weeks remaining, trader consensus aligns with the structural Republican advantage and absence of late-breaking developments that would typically narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$21,160结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETPete Stauber holds a strong position in Minnesota’s 8th Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, backed by the seat’s R+7 partisan voting index and his consistent prior victories, including a 58% share in 2024. Both candidates cleared their August 11 primaries with wide margins—Stauber defeating a minor challenger and Trina Swanson securing the Democratic nomination—leaving little uncertainty about the matchup. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Safe or Likely Republican, reflecting the district’s rural and Iron Range base plus the incumbent’s established campaign infrastructure. Swanson’s background as a former federal immigration official and her focus on local economic issues have not yet produced measurable shifts in the race’s fundamentals. With roughly seven weeks remaining, trader consensus aligns with the structural Republican advantage and absence of late-breaking developments that would typically narrow the gap.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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