Yiwarr McGrath holds a commanding lead in the Mulka by-election market as the preselected Territory Labor candidate for the September 12 vote in this remote Northern Territory seat covering East Arnhem Land communities. The vacancy followed independent Yiŋiya Mark Guyula’s mid-August resignation in protest against Country Liberal Party government policies, creating a short campaign window that has favored Labor’s organizational resources and local profile. McGrath, a Yolŋu registered nurse and former NT Young Australian of the Year from Galiwin’ku, has positioned his candidacy around healthcare access and community services while seeking to build on elements of the prior independent representation. Limited opposition centers on independent Andrew Blamey, with trader consensus reflecting the absence of other viable contenders and historical patterns of strong support for Labor-aligned candidates in the electorate’s Indigenous-majority demographics. A late independent surge or shifts in turnout could still alter the outcome before polls close.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-09-12
伊瓦尔·麦格拉思
98%
安德鲁·布拉米
1%
最新
最新
2026-09-12
伊瓦尔·麦格拉思
$1,819 交易量
98%
安德鲁·布拉米
$851 交易量
1%
A by-election in the Northern Territory Legislative Assembly division of Mulka is scheduled to take place on September 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Mulka by-election to the Legislative Assembly of the Northern Territory.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Northern Territory Electoral Commission (https://ntec.nt.gov.au/).Yiwarr McGrath holds a commanding lead in the Mulka by-election market as the preselected Territory Labor candidate for the September 12 vote in this remote Northern Territory seat covering East Arnhem Land communities. The vacancy followed independent Yiŋiya Mark Guyula’s mid-August resignation in protest against Country Liberal Party government policies, creating a short campaign window that has favored Labor’s organizational resources and local profile. McGrath, a Yolŋu registered nurse and former NT Young Australian of the Year from Galiwin’ku, has positioned his candidacy around healthcare access and community services while seeking to build on elements of the prior independent representation. Limited opposition centers on independent Andrew Blamey, with trader consensus reflecting the absence of other viable contenders and historical patterns of strong support for Labor-aligned candidates in the electorate’s Indigenous-majority demographics. A late independent surge or shifts in turnout could still alter the outcome before polls close.
A by-election in the Northern Territory Legislative Assembly division of Mulka is scheduled to take place on September 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Mulka by-election to the Legislative Assembly of the Northern Territory.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Northern Territory Electoral Commission (https://ntec.nt.gov.au/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Mulka by-election to the Legislative Assembly of the Northern Territory.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Northern Territory Electoral Commission (https://ntec.nt.gov.au/).
市场开放时间： Aug 31, 2026, 3:03 PM ET
交易量
$2,670结束日期
2026-09-12市场开放时间
Aug 31, 2026, 3:03 PM ETA by-election in the Northern Territory Legislative Assembly division of Mulka is scheduled to take place on September 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Mulka by-election to the Legislative Assembly of the Northern Territory.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Northern Territory Electoral Commission (https://ntec.nt.gov.au/).Yiwarr McGrath holds a commanding lead in the Mulka by-election market as the preselected Territory Labor candidate for the September 12 vote in this remote Northern Territory seat covering East Arnhem Land communities. The vacancy followed independent Yiŋiya Mark Guyula’s mid-August resignation in protest against Country Liberal Party government policies, creating a short campaign window that has favored Labor’s organizational resources and local profile. McGrath, a Yolŋu registered nurse and former NT Young Australian of the Year from Galiwin’ku, has positioned his candidacy around healthcare access and community services while seeking to build on elements of the prior independent representation. Limited opposition centers on independent Andrew Blamey, with trader consensus reflecting the absence of other viable contenders and historical patterns of strong support for Labor-aligned candidates in the electorate’s Indigenous-majority demographics. A late independent surge or shifts in turnout could still alter the outcome before polls close.
A by-election in the Northern Territory Legislative Assembly division of Mulka is scheduled to take place on September 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Mulka by-election to the Legislative Assembly of the Northern Territory.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Northern Territory Electoral Commission (https://ntec.nt.gov.au/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Mulka by-election to the Legislative Assembly of the Northern Territory.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Northern Territory Electoral Commission (https://ntec.nt.gov.au/).
交易量
$2,670结束日期
2026-09-12市场开放时间
Aug 31, 2026, 3:03 PM ETYiwarr McGrath holds a commanding lead in the Mulka by-election market as the preselected Territory Labor candidate for the September 12 vote in this remote Northern Territory seat covering East Arnhem Land communities. The vacancy followed independent Yiŋiya Mark Guyula’s mid-August resignation in protest against Country Liberal Party government policies, creating a short campaign window that has favored Labor’s organizational resources and local profile. McGrath, a Yolŋu registered nurse and former NT Young Australian of the Year from Galiwin’ku, has positioned his candidacy around healthcare access and community services while seeking to build on elements of the prior independent representation. Limited opposition centers on independent Andrew Blamey, with trader consensus reflecting the absence of other viable contenders and historical patterns of strong support for Labor-aligned candidates in the electorate’s Indigenous-majority demographics. A late independent surge or shifts in turnout could still alter the outcome before polls close.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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