Valerie Foushee holds a commanding lead in the North Carolina 4th congressional district race due to the area's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+23 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent Safe Democratic or Solid Democratic ratings from forecasters. As the incumbent first elected in 2022, she secured the Democratic nomination in a narrow March 2026 primary victory over challenger Nida Allam before facing limited general election opposition from Republican Mahesh Ganorkar, who advanced unopposed in his primary with minimal fundraising. The district encompasses heavily Democratic counties including Durham and Orange, where historical voting patterns and low Republican visibility sustain trader consensus around Foushee's position. Late-breaking events such as a major scandal, health development, or national political shift could still alter the outcome ahead of the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$45,921 交易量
$45,921 交易量
2026-11-02
瓦莱丽·福希（民主党）
95%
马克斯·加诺卡尔（共和党）
3%
$45,921 交易量
$45,921 交易量
2026-11-02
瓦莱丽·福希（民主党）
$14,906 交易量
95%
马克斯·加诺卡尔（共和党）
$31,015 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Valerie Foushee holds a commanding lead in the North Carolina 4th congressional district race due to the area's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+23 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent Safe Democratic or Solid Democratic ratings from forecasters. As the incumbent first elected in 2022, she secured the Democratic nomination in a narrow March 2026 primary victory over challenger Nida Allam before facing limited general election opposition from Republican Mahesh Ganorkar, who advanced unopposed in his primary with minimal fundraising. The district encompasses heavily Democratic counties including Durham and Orange, where historical voting patterns and low Republican visibility sustain trader consensus around Foushee's position. Late-breaking events such as a major scandal, health development, or national political shift could still alter the outcome ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$45,921结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Valerie Foushee holds a commanding lead in the North Carolina 4th congressional district race due to the area's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+23 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent Safe Democratic or Solid Democratic ratings from forecasters. As the incumbent first elected in 2022, she secured the Democratic nomination in a narrow March 2026 primary victory over challenger Nida Allam before facing limited general election opposition from Republican Mahesh Ganorkar, who advanced unopposed in his primary with minimal fundraising. The district encompasses heavily Democratic counties including Durham and Orange, where historical voting patterns and low Republican visibility sustain trader consensus around Foushee's position. Late-breaking events such as a major scandal, health development, or national political shift could still alter the outcome ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$45,921结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETValerie Foushee holds a commanding lead in the North Carolina 4th congressional district race due to the area's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+23 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent Safe Democratic or Solid Democratic ratings from forecasters. As the incumbent first elected in 2022, she secured the Democratic nomination in a narrow March 2026 primary victory over challenger Nida Allam before facing limited general election opposition from Republican Mahesh Ganorkar, who advanced unopposed in his primary with minimal fundraising. The district encompasses heavily Democratic counties including Durham and Orange, where historical voting patterns and low Republican visibility sustain trader consensus around Foushee's position. Late-breaking events such as a major scandal, health development, or national political shift could still alter the outcome ahead of the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题