Google’s persistent delays on Gemini 3.5 Pro, originally targeted for June after an I/O 2026 tease, continue to shape trader views on the next Pro-tier release. The model remains in limited partner testing without a firm public timeline, as Google prioritizes refinements for agentic and coding performance while shipping multiple Flash variants, including the 3.8 series on September 2. Internal focus has shifted toward pre-training Gemini 4, adding uncertainty around whether 3.5 Pro will launch before October. Market-implied odds reflect this caution, with low near-term probabilities driven by Google’s pattern of conservative flagship rollouts amid competition from OpenAI and Anthropic models. Traders are watching for any developer conference updates or API changes that could accelerate availability.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$1,288,629 交易量
2026-09-15
September 15
3%
September 30
16%
October 31
78%
10 月 15 日
30%
$1,288,629 交易量
September 15
$12,325 交易量
3%
September 30
$88,276 交易量
16%
October 31
$22,814 交易量
78%
10 月 15 日
$9,131 交易量
30%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google’s persistent delays on Gemini 3.5 Pro, originally targeted for June after an I/O 2026 tease, continue to shape trader views on the next Pro-tier release. The model remains in limited partner testing without a firm public timeline, as Google prioritizes refinements for agentic and coding performance while shipping multiple Flash variants, including the 3.8 series on September 2. Internal focus has shifted toward pre-training Gemini 4, adding uncertainty around whether 3.5 Pro will launch before October. Market-implied odds reflect this caution, with low near-term probabilities driven by Google’s pattern of conservative flagship rollouts amid competition from OpenAI and Anthropic models. Traders are watching for any developer conference updates or API changes that could accelerate availability.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 9:16 AM ET
交易量
$1,288,629结束日期
2026-11-01市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 9:16 AM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google’s persistent delays on Gemini 3.5 Pro, originally targeted for June after an I/O 2026 tease, continue to shape trader views on the next Pro-tier release. The model remains in limited partner testing without a firm public timeline, as Google prioritizes refinements for agentic and coding performance while shipping multiple Flash variants, including the 3.8 series on September 2. Internal focus has shifted toward pre-training Gemini 4, adding uncertainty around whether 3.5 Pro will launch before October. Market-implied odds reflect this caution, with low near-term probabilities driven by Google’s pattern of conservative flagship rollouts amid competition from OpenAI and Anthropic models. Traders are watching for any developer conference updates or API changes that could accelerate availability.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$1,288,629结束日期
2026-11-01市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 9:16 AM ETGoogle’s persistent delays on Gemini 3.5 Pro, originally targeted for June after an I/O 2026 tease, continue to shape trader views on the next Pro-tier release. The model remains in limited partner testing without a firm public timeline, as Google prioritizes refinements for agentic and coding performance while shipping multiple Flash variants, including the 3.8 series on September 2. Internal focus has shifted toward pre-training Gemini 4, adding uncertainty around whether 3.5 Pro will launch before October. Market-implied odds reflect this caution, with low near-term probabilities driven by Google’s pattern of conservative flagship rollouts amid competition from OpenAI and Anthropic models. Traders are watching for any developer conference updates or API changes that could accelerate availability.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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