Recent OpenAI announcements have sharply lifted trader sentiment around AI solving major math problems in 2026. On September 8, the company claimed its unreleased multi-agent system produced a formal Lean proof for the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness Millennium Problem in 88 hours, marking the first purported resolution of one of the Clay Institute’s seven $1 million challenges. This follows months of incremental gains, including OpenAI and Harmonic solutions to Erdős problems, Anthropic’s Claude advancing bounds on the Riemann hypothesis, and DeepMind’s earlier AlphaProof medal-level IMO performance. Traders now price several Millennium and long-standing conjectures near even odds, reflecting rapid scaling in formal reasoning and agentic workflows, though verification by mathematicians and questions over novelty versus prior human work introduce ongoing uncertainty ahead of year-end resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
2026-12-31
霍奇猜想
59%
Birch和Swinnerton-Dyer
57%
杨-米尔斯
51%
考拉茨猜想
51%
强哥德巴赫猜想
51%
孪生素数猜想
50%
奇完全数
50%
哈德威格-尼尔森问题
50%
比尔猜想
50%
拉姆齐数R(5,5)
50%
黎曼猜想
50%
勒让德猜想
50%
阿达玛矩阵猜想
50%
P与NP
34%
$393 交易量
霍奇猜想
$315 交易量
59%
Birch和Swinnerton-Dyer
$0 交易量
57%
杨-米尔斯
$0 交易量
51%
考拉茨猜想
$0 交易量
51%
强哥德巴赫猜想
$0 交易量
51%
孪生素数猜想
$0 交易量
50%
奇完全数
$0 交易量
50%
哈德威格-尼尔森问题
$0 交易量
50%
比尔猜想
$0 交易量
50%
拉姆齐数R(5,5)
$0 交易量
50%
黎曼猜想
$0 交易量
50%
勒让德猜想
$0 交易量
50%
阿达玛矩阵猜想
$0 交易量
50%
P与NP
$78 交易量
34%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an eligible AI lab announces a solution to the problem specified in the title by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement must be made by an eligible AI lab or an official representative of the lab, and must express that the problem specified in the title has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify. The announcement must present the solution as the work of the lab, its researchers, or its models, alone or jointly with outside researchers. An announcement that only credits or congratulates outside researchers, including researchers who used the lab's models, compute, or research credits, will not qualify. No further confirmation from the Clay Mathematics Institute or any other organization is required.
The eligible AI labs are Anthropic, Google, SpaceXAI, Alibaba, OpenAI, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, Moonshot, Meta, Nvidia, DeepSeek, MiniMax, Meituan, Amazon, ByteDance, Mistral, Tencent, StepFun, Microsoft, Harmonic, Axiom Math, Math Inc, Safe Superintelligence, Thinking Machines Lab, Reflection AI, Periodic Labs, Apple, IBM, Huawei, Samsung, Oracle, Salesforce, Cohere, AI21 Labs, Reka, Sakana AI, Poolside, Magic, Perplexity, Anysphere, Kuaishou, SenseTime, iFlytek, Baichuan, and 01.AI, together with their subsidiaries and research divisions, and any other company with a model listed on the MMLU-pro leaderboard (https://huggingface.co/spaces/TIGER-Lab/MMLU-Pro) at the time of the announcement. Announcements by any other company, organization, or individual will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the eligible AI labs and/or their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent OpenAI announcements have sharply lifted trader sentiment around AI solving major math problems in 2026. On September 8, the company claimed its unreleased multi-agent system produced a formal Lean proof for the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness Millennium Problem in 88 hours, marking the first purported resolution of one of the Clay Institute’s seven $1 million challenges. This follows months of incremental gains, including OpenAI and Harmonic solutions to Erdős problems, Anthropic’s Claude advancing bounds on the Riemann hypothesis, and DeepMind’s earlier AlphaProof medal-level IMO performance. Traders now price several Millennium and long-standing conjectures near even odds, reflecting rapid scaling in formal reasoning and agentic workflows, though verification by mathematicians and questions over novelty versus prior human work introduce ongoing uncertainty ahead of year-end resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an eligible AI lab announces a solution to the problem specified in the title by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement must be made by an eligible AI lab or an official representative of the lab, and must express that the problem specified in the title has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify. The announcement must present the solution as the work of the lab, its researchers, or its models, alone or jointly with outside researchers. An announcement that only credits or congratulates outside researchers, including researchers who used the lab's models, compute, or research credits, will not qualify. No further confirmation from the Clay Mathematics Institute or any other organization is required.
The eligible AI labs are Anthropic, Google, SpaceXAI, Alibaba, OpenAI, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, Moonshot, Meta, Nvidia, DeepSeek, MiniMax, Meituan, Amazon, ByteDance, Mistral, Tencent, StepFun, Microsoft, Harmonic, Axiom Math, Math Inc, Safe Superintelligence, Thinking Machines Lab, Reflection AI, Periodic Labs, Apple, IBM, Huawei, Samsung, Oracle, Salesforce, Cohere, AI21 Labs, Reka, Sakana AI, Poolside, Magic, Perplexity, Anysphere, Kuaishou, SenseTime, iFlytek, Baichuan, and 01.AI, together with their subsidiaries and research divisions, and any other company with a model listed on the MMLU-pro leaderboard (https://huggingface.co/spaces/TIGER-Lab/MMLU-Pro) at the time of the announcement. Announcements by any other company, organization, or individual will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the eligible AI labs and/or their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying announcement must be made by an eligible AI lab or an official representative of the lab, and must express that the problem specified in the title has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify. The announcement must present the solution as the work of the lab, its researchers, or its models, alone or jointly with outside researchers. An announcement that only credits or congratulates outside researchers, including researchers who used the lab's models, compute, or research credits, will not qualify. No further confirmation from the Clay Mathematics Institute or any other organization is required.
The eligible AI labs are Anthropic, Google, SpaceXAI, Alibaba, OpenAI, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, Moonshot, Meta, Nvidia, DeepSeek, MiniMax, Meituan, Amazon, ByteDance, Mistral, Tencent, StepFun, Microsoft, Harmonic, Axiom Math, Math Inc, Safe Superintelligence, Thinking Machines Lab, Reflection AI, Periodic Labs, Apple, IBM, Huawei, Samsung, Oracle, Salesforce, Cohere, AI21 Labs, Reka, Sakana AI, Poolside, Magic, Perplexity, Anysphere, Kuaishou, SenseTime, iFlytek, Baichuan, and 01.AI, together with their subsidiaries and research divisions, and any other company with a model listed on the MMLU-pro leaderboard (https://huggingface.co/spaces/TIGER-Lab/MMLU-Pro) at the time of the announcement. Announcements by any other company, organization, or individual will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the eligible AI labs and/or their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Sep 9, 2026, 3:44 PM ET
交易量
$393结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Sep 9, 2026, 3:44 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if an eligible AI lab announces a solution to the problem specified in the title by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement must be made by an eligible AI lab or an official representative of the lab, and must express that the problem specified in the title has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify. The announcement must present the solution as the work of the lab, its researchers, or its models, alone or jointly with outside researchers. An announcement that only credits or congratulates outside researchers, including researchers who used the lab's models, compute, or research credits, will not qualify. No further confirmation from the Clay Mathematics Institute or any other organization is required.
The eligible AI labs are Anthropic, Google, SpaceXAI, Alibaba, OpenAI, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, Moonshot, Meta, Nvidia, DeepSeek, MiniMax, Meituan, Amazon, ByteDance, Mistral, Tencent, StepFun, Microsoft, Harmonic, Axiom Math, Math Inc, Safe Superintelligence, Thinking Machines Lab, Reflection AI, Periodic Labs, Apple, IBM, Huawei, Samsung, Oracle, Salesforce, Cohere, AI21 Labs, Reka, Sakana AI, Poolside, Magic, Perplexity, Anysphere, Kuaishou, SenseTime, iFlytek, Baichuan, and 01.AI, together with their subsidiaries and research divisions, and any other company with a model listed on the MMLU-pro leaderboard (https://huggingface.co/spaces/TIGER-Lab/MMLU-Pro) at the time of the announcement. Announcements by any other company, organization, or individual will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the eligible AI labs and/or their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent OpenAI announcements have sharply lifted trader sentiment around AI solving major math problems in 2026. On September 8, the company claimed its unreleased multi-agent system produced a formal Lean proof for the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness Millennium Problem in 88 hours, marking the first purported resolution of one of the Clay Institute’s seven $1 million challenges. This follows months of incremental gains, including OpenAI and Harmonic solutions to Erdős problems, Anthropic’s Claude advancing bounds on the Riemann hypothesis, and DeepMind’s earlier AlphaProof medal-level IMO performance. Traders now price several Millennium and long-standing conjectures near even odds, reflecting rapid scaling in formal reasoning and agentic workflows, though verification by mathematicians and questions over novelty versus prior human work introduce ongoing uncertainty ahead of year-end resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an eligible AI lab announces a solution to the problem specified in the title by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement must be made by an eligible AI lab or an official representative of the lab, and must express that the problem specified in the title has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify. The announcement must present the solution as the work of the lab, its researchers, or its models, alone or jointly with outside researchers. An announcement that only credits or congratulates outside researchers, including researchers who used the lab's models, compute, or research credits, will not qualify. No further confirmation from the Clay Mathematics Institute or any other organization is required.
The eligible AI labs are Anthropic, Google, SpaceXAI, Alibaba, OpenAI, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, Moonshot, Meta, Nvidia, DeepSeek, MiniMax, Meituan, Amazon, ByteDance, Mistral, Tencent, StepFun, Microsoft, Harmonic, Axiom Math, Math Inc, Safe Superintelligence, Thinking Machines Lab, Reflection AI, Periodic Labs, Apple, IBM, Huawei, Samsung, Oracle, Salesforce, Cohere, AI21 Labs, Reka, Sakana AI, Poolside, Magic, Perplexity, Anysphere, Kuaishou, SenseTime, iFlytek, Baichuan, and 01.AI, together with their subsidiaries and research divisions, and any other company with a model listed on the MMLU-pro leaderboard (https://huggingface.co/spaces/TIGER-Lab/MMLU-Pro) at the time of the announcement. Announcements by any other company, organization, or individual will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the eligible AI labs and/or their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying announcement must be made by an eligible AI lab or an official representative of the lab, and must express that the problem specified in the title has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify. The announcement must present the solution as the work of the lab, its researchers, or its models, alone or jointly with outside researchers. An announcement that only credits or congratulates outside researchers, including researchers who used the lab's models, compute, or research credits, will not qualify. No further confirmation from the Clay Mathematics Institute or any other organization is required.
The eligible AI labs are Anthropic, Google, SpaceXAI, Alibaba, OpenAI, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, Moonshot, Meta, Nvidia, DeepSeek, MiniMax, Meituan, Amazon, ByteDance, Mistral, Tencent, StepFun, Microsoft, Harmonic, Axiom Math, Math Inc, Safe Superintelligence, Thinking Machines Lab, Reflection AI, Periodic Labs, Apple, IBM, Huawei, Samsung, Oracle, Salesforce, Cohere, AI21 Labs, Reka, Sakana AI, Poolside, Magic, Perplexity, Anysphere, Kuaishou, SenseTime, iFlytek, Baichuan, and 01.AI, together with their subsidiaries and research divisions, and any other company with a model listed on the MMLU-pro leaderboard (https://huggingface.co/spaces/TIGER-Lab/MMLU-Pro) at the time of the announcement. Announcements by any other company, organization, or individual will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the eligible AI labs and/or their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$393结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Sep 9, 2026, 3:44 PM ETRecent OpenAI announcements have sharply lifted trader sentiment around AI solving major math problems in 2026. On September 8, the company claimed its unreleased multi-agent system produced a formal Lean proof for the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness Millennium Problem in 88 hours, marking the first purported resolution of one of the Clay Institute’s seven $1 million challenges. This follows months of incremental gains, including OpenAI and Harmonic solutions to Erdős problems, Anthropic’s Claude advancing bounds on the Riemann hypothesis, and DeepMind’s earlier AlphaProof medal-level IMO performance. Traders now price several Millennium and long-standing conjectures near even odds, reflecting rapid scaling in formal reasoning and agentic workflows, though verification by mathematicians and questions over novelty versus prior human work introduce ongoing uncertainty ahead of year-end resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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