Kevin Hern secured the Republican nomination for Oklahoma’s open Senate seat in June 2026 with roughly 70 percent of the primary vote, backed by an early endorsement from President Trump following Markwayne Mullin’s departure for the Cabinet. Oklahoma’s consistent Republican dominance in federal contests, including large margins for Trump in recent cycles, underpins trader expectations that Hern will prevail in November against Democrat N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas, a nurse who advanced through an August runoff. Thomas’s limited campaign resources and the party’s long absence from statewide victories reinforce the wide gap in implied probabilities. Potential shifts could arise from unforeseen scandals, health developments, or sharp national political changes in the final weeks, though such factors have rarely altered outcomes in this solidly Republican state.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于俄克拉荷马州参议院选举获胜者
俄克拉荷马州参议院选举获胜者
$20,653 交易量
$20,653 交易量
2026-11-02
凯文·赫恩（共和党）
96%
恩基拉“贾思敏”托马斯（民主党）
4%
$20,653 交易量
$20,653 交易量
2026-11-02
凯文·赫恩（共和党）
$14,071 交易量
96%
恩基拉“贾思敏”托马斯（民主党）
$6,582 交易量
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Kevin Hern secured the Republican nomination for Oklahoma’s open Senate seat in June 2026 with roughly 70 percent of the primary vote, backed by an early endorsement from President Trump following Markwayne Mullin’s departure for the Cabinet. Oklahoma’s consistent Republican dominance in federal contests, including large margins for Trump in recent cycles, underpins trader expectations that Hern will prevail in November against Democrat N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas, a nurse who advanced through an August runoff. Thomas’s limited campaign resources and the party’s long absence from statewide victories reinforce the wide gap in implied probabilities. Potential shifts could arise from unforeseen scandals, health developments, or sharp national political changes in the final weeks, though such factors have rarely altered outcomes in this solidly Republican state.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
交易量
$20,653结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Kevin Hern secured the Republican nomination for Oklahoma’s open Senate seat in June 2026 with roughly 70 percent of the primary vote, backed by an early endorsement from President Trump following Markwayne Mullin’s departure for the Cabinet. Oklahoma’s consistent Republican dominance in federal contests, including large margins for Trump in recent cycles, underpins trader expectations that Hern will prevail in November against Democrat N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas, a nurse who advanced through an August runoff. Thomas’s limited campaign resources and the party’s long absence from statewide victories reinforce the wide gap in implied probabilities. Potential shifts could arise from unforeseen scandals, health developments, or sharp national political changes in the final weeks, though such factors have rarely altered outcomes in this solidly Republican state.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$20,653结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETKevin Hern secured the Republican nomination for Oklahoma’s open Senate seat in June 2026 with roughly 70 percent of the primary vote, backed by an early endorsement from President Trump following Markwayne Mullin’s departure for the Cabinet. Oklahoma’s consistent Republican dominance in federal contests, including large margins for Trump in recent cycles, underpins trader expectations that Hern will prevail in November against Democrat N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas, a nurse who advanced through an August runoff. Thomas’s limited campaign resources and the party’s long absence from statewide victories reinforce the wide gap in implied probabilities. Potential shifts could arise from unforeseen scandals, health developments, or sharp national political changes in the final weeks, though such factors have rarely altered outcomes in this solidly Republican state.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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