**Trader sentiment heavily favors an "Onslaught" opening weekend under $2 million (98.9% implied probability) due to the film's actual performance and weak pre-release indicators.** The A24 action-horror title from Adam Wingard opened September 4 across roughly 1,918 theaters to about $1.88 million over the three-day frame and around $2.3 million for the four-day Labor Day holiday, well below modest expectations for its reported $15 million budget. Mixed critical response (56% on Rotten Tomatoes) and a "C" CinemaScore from audiences signaled limited word-of-mouth and front-loaded interest, typical for a wide release returning to the director's smaller-scale genre roots after larger studio projects. With final numbers locked in shortly after release, the market reflects near-certainty around the sub-$2 million outcome. An upset pushing totals into higher brackets would require substantial reporting revisions or an unforeseen surge in late-weekend attendance, both improbable given current data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于《猛攻》开场周末票房
《猛攻》开场周末票房
低于200万 98.9%
200万-300万 1.1%
300-400万 <1%
400万-500万 <1%
$31,050 交易量
$31,050 交易量
2026-09-06
低于200万
99%
200万-300万
1%
300-400万
<1%
400万-500万
<1%
500万-600万
<1%
600万+
<1%
低于200万 98.9%
200万-300万 1.1%
300-400万 <1%
400万-500万 <1%
$31,050 交易量
$31,050 交易量
2026-09-06
低于200万
$10,881 交易量
99%
200万-300万
$8,642 交易量
1%
300-400万
$6,709 交易量
<1%
400万-500万
$2,499 交易量
<1%
500万-600万
$1,444 交易量
<1%
600万+
$874 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to how much "Onslaught" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 4 - 6) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Trader sentiment heavily favors an "Onslaught" opening weekend under $2 million (98.9% implied probability) due to the film's actual performance and weak pre-release indicators.** The A24 action-horror title from Adam Wingard opened September 4 across roughly 1,918 theaters to about $1.88 million over the three-day frame and around $2.3 million for the four-day Labor Day holiday, well below modest expectations for its reported $15 million budget. Mixed critical response (56% on Rotten Tomatoes) and a "C" CinemaScore from audiences signaled limited word-of-mouth and front-loaded interest, typical for a wide release returning to the director's smaller-scale genre roots after larger studio projects. With final numbers locked in shortly after release, the market reflects near-certainty around the sub-$2 million outcome. An upset pushing totals into higher brackets would require substantial reporting revisions or an unforeseen surge in late-weekend attendance, both improbable given current data.
This market will resolve according to how much "Onslaught" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 4 - 6) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
市场开放时间： Aug 31, 2026, 1:11 PM ET
交易量
$31,050结束日期
2026-09-06市场开放时间
Aug 31, 2026, 1:11 PM ETThis market will resolve according to how much "Onslaught" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 4 - 6) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Trader sentiment heavily favors an "Onslaught" opening weekend under $2 million (98.9% implied probability) due to the film's actual performance and weak pre-release indicators.** The A24 action-horror title from Adam Wingard opened September 4 across roughly 1,918 theaters to about $1.88 million over the three-day frame and around $2.3 million for the four-day Labor Day holiday, well below modest expectations for its reported $15 million budget. Mixed critical response (56% on Rotten Tomatoes) and a "C" CinemaScore from audiences signaled limited word-of-mouth and front-loaded interest, typical for a wide release returning to the director's smaller-scale genre roots after larger studio projects. With final numbers locked in shortly after release, the market reflects near-certainty around the sub-$2 million outcome. An upset pushing totals into higher brackets would require substantial reporting revisions or an unforeseen surge in late-weekend attendance, both improbable given current data.
This market will resolve according to how much "Onslaught" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 4 - 6) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
交易量
$31,050结束日期
2026-09-06市场开放时间
Aug 31, 2026, 1:11 PM ET**Trader sentiment heavily favors an "Onslaught" opening weekend under $2 million (98.9% implied probability) due to the film's actual performance and weak pre-release indicators.** The A24 action-horror title from Adam Wingard opened September 4 across roughly 1,918 theaters to about $1.88 million over the three-day frame and around $2.3 million for the four-day Labor Day holiday, well below modest expectations for its reported $15 million budget. Mixed critical response (56% on Rotten Tomatoes) and a "C" CinemaScore from audiences signaled limited word-of-mouth and front-loaded interest, typical for a wide release returning to the director's smaller-scale genre roots after larger studio projects. With final numbers locked in shortly after release, the market reflects near-certainty around the sub-$2 million outcome. An upset pushing totals into higher brackets would require substantial reporting revisions or an unforeseen surge in late-weekend attendance, both improbable given current data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题