OPEC continues to coordinate production policies through monthly meetings of core members including Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iraq, Kuwait, Algeria, and Oman, with the latest session in early September 2026 reaffirming commitments to market stability and output adjustments into 2027. Recent exits, notably the UAE's departure effective May 2026 amid the Iran conflict and quota disputes, have reduced the group's spare capacity and influence, yet the organization has absorbed similar departures in prior years without dissolving. Trader consensus at 96.9% against dissolution reflects the absence of any coordinated breakup mechanism or mass withdrawal trigger, though further exits or irreconcilable quota conflicts could still alter the trajectory before year-end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
3% 概率
$34,792 交易量
$34,792 交易量
2026-12-31
是
3% 概率
$34,792 交易量
$34,792 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
OPEC continues to coordinate production policies through monthly meetings of core members including Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iraq, Kuwait, Algeria, and Oman, with the latest session in early September 2026 reaffirming commitments to market stability and output adjustments into 2027. Recent exits, notably the UAE's departure effective May 2026 amid the Iran conflict and quota disputes, have reduced the group's spare capacity and influence, yet the organization has absorbed similar departures in prior years without dissolving. Trader consensus at 96.9% against dissolution reflects the absence of any coordinated breakup mechanism or mass withdrawal trigger, though further exits or irreconcilable quota conflicts could still alter the trajectory before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Apr 28, 2026, 1:35 PM ET
交易量
$34,792结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Apr 28, 2026, 1:35 PM ETThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
OPEC continues to coordinate production policies through monthly meetings of core members including Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iraq, Kuwait, Algeria, and Oman, with the latest session in early September 2026 reaffirming commitments to market stability and output adjustments into 2027. Recent exits, notably the UAE's departure effective May 2026 amid the Iran conflict and quota disputes, have reduced the group's spare capacity and influence, yet the organization has absorbed similar departures in prior years without dissolving. Trader consensus at 96.9% against dissolution reflects the absence of any coordinated breakup mechanism or mass withdrawal trigger, though further exits or irreconcilable quota conflicts could still alter the trajectory before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$34,792结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Apr 28, 2026, 1:35 PM ETOPEC continues to coordinate production policies through monthly meetings of core members including Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iraq, Kuwait, Algeria, and Oman, with the latest session in early September 2026 reaffirming commitments to market stability and output adjustments into 2027. Recent exits, notably the UAE's departure effective May 2026 amid the Iran conflict and quota disputes, have reduced the group's spare capacity and influence, yet the organization has absorbed similar departures in prior years without dissolving. Trader consensus at 96.9% against dissolution reflects the absence of any coordinated breakup mechanism or mass withdrawal trigger, though further exits or irreconcilable quota conflicts could still alter the trajectory before year-end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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