Recent earnings strength, with Palantir reporting 93% year-over-year revenue growth and a raised full-year 2026 guidance implying 82% expansion, has supported the share price near $170 as of September 9. However, a post-earnings pullback from late-August highs above $186, combined with Cathie Wood-led selling, a Nebius sovereign AI partnership announcement, and broader software sector weakness, has created a wide distribution of implied probabilities across closing price buckets for the week of September 7. High valuation multiples near 145 times trailing earnings and sensitivity to interest rate expectations and AI spending trends contribute to the dispersed trader positioning, with no single range exceeding 27% probability.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于低于166美元 29%
$166-$168 16%
$168-$170 16%
$170-$172 13%
低于166美元
29%
$166-$168
16%
$168-$170
16%
$170-$172
13%
$172-$174
11%
$174-$176
7%
$176-$178
7%
178-180美元
8%
$180-$182
7%
$182-$184
6%
>184美元
11%
低于166美元 29%
$166-$168 16%
$168-$170 16%
$170-$172 13%
低于166美元
29%
$166-$168
16%
$168-$170
16%
$170-$172
13%
$172-$174
11%
$174-$176
7%
$176-$178
7%
178-180美元
8%
$180-$182
7%
$182-$184
6%
>184美元
11%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.PLTR%2FUSD.
市场开放时间: Sep 4, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.PLTR%2FUSD.
Recent earnings strength, with Palantir reporting 93% year-over-year revenue growth and a raised full-year 2026 guidance implying 82% expansion, has supported the share price near $170 as of September 9. However, a post-earnings pullback from late-August highs above $186, combined with Cathie Wood-led selling, a Nebius sovereign AI partnership announcement, and broader software sector weakness, has created a wide distribution of implied probabilities across closing price buckets for the week of September 7. High valuation multiples near 145 times trailing earnings and sensitivity to interest rate expectations and AI spending trends contribute to the dispersed trader positioning, with no single range exceeding 27% probability.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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