Traders assign a 68.5% implied probability to August 2026 U.S. PPI rising 5.1% or more year-over-year, reflecting expectations for a notable rebound from July’s 4.7% print. The primary driver is the recent surge in energy and broad commodity prices, which have lifted input costs for producers and are expected to transmit into final demand goods. Consensus forecasts from Wall Street surveys point to a 5.3% YoY reading, supported by a projected 0.4% monthly increase. Market-implied odds also price limited room for softer outcomes below 5.0%, consistent with the timing of higher oil benchmarks and goods-price momentum ahead of the September 10 release. Upcoming CPI data and any revisions to commodity trends could still shift positioning before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5.1%及以上 69%
4.9% 5.6%
4.6% 5.0%
5.0% 4.8%
$19,224 交易量
$19,224 交易量
≤4.2%
1%
4.3%
1%
4.4%
1%
4.5%
2%
4.6%
5%
4.7%
4%
4.8%
4%
4.9%
6%
5.0%
5%
5.1%及以上
69%
5.1%及以上 69%
4.9% 5.6%
4.6% 5.0%
5.0% 4.8%
$19,224 交易量
$19,224 交易量
≤4.2%
1%
4.3%
1%
4.4%
1%
4.5%
2%
4.6%
5%
4.7%
4%
4.8%
4%
4.9%
6%
5.0%
5%
5.1%及以上
69%
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports PPI over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
市场开放时间: Aug 13, 2026, 1:56 PM ET
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports PPI over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Traders assign a 68.5% implied probability to August 2026 U.S. PPI rising 5.1% or more year-over-year, reflecting expectations for a notable rebound from July’s 4.7% print. The primary driver is the recent surge in energy and broad commodity prices, which have lifted input costs for producers and are expected to transmit into final demand goods. Consensus forecasts from Wall Street surveys point to a 5.3% YoY reading, supported by a projected 0.4% monthly increase. Market-implied odds also price limited room for softer outcomes below 5.0%, consistent with the timing of higher oil benchmarks and goods-price momentum ahead of the September 10 release. Upcoming CPI data and any revisions to commodity trends could still shift positioning before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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