The Parti Québécois holds a clear lead in trader consensus for forming the next Quebec government after the October 5 election, driven by its consistent polling edge of around 29% and stronger positioning among francophone voters under leader Paul St-Pierre Plamondon. Recent Léger, Pallas, and Synopsis surveys show the CAQ closing some ground to about 24% under new Premier Christine Fréchette, while the Liberals have slipped to roughly 22% and other parties trail further behind. The race remains fluid with over 40% of decided voters open to switching and key campaign issues including healthcare, housing costs, and U.S. tariffs. Seat projections favor the PQ for a plurality or minority government in the 127-seat National Assembly, though tight regional contests and voter shifts before election day continue to influence probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于魁人党 72%
魁人党 26%
魁北克自由党 3.0%
魁北克保守党 <1%
$887,034 交易量
$887,034 交易量
2026-10-04
魁人党
72%
魁人党
26%
魁北克自由党
3%
魁北克保守党
<1%
魁北克绿党
<1%
魁团
<1%
魁人党 72%
魁人党 26%
魁北克自由党 3.0%
魁北克保守党 <1%
$887,034 交易量
$887,034 交易量
2026-10-04
魁人党
$117,225 交易量
72%
魁人党
$136,328 交易量
26%
魁北克自由党
$123,484 交易量
3%
魁北克保守党
$245,953 交易量
<1%
魁北克绿党
$157,522 交易量
<1%
魁团
$106,523 交易量
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).The Parti Québécois holds a clear lead in trader consensus for forming the next Quebec government after the October 5 election, driven by its consistent polling edge of around 29% and stronger positioning among francophone voters under leader Paul St-Pierre Plamondon. Recent Léger, Pallas, and Synopsis surveys show the CAQ closing some ground to about 24% under new Premier Christine Fréchette, while the Liberals have slipped to roughly 22% and other parties trail further behind. The race remains fluid with over 40% of decided voters open to switching and key campaign issues including healthcare, housing costs, and U.S. tariffs. Seat projections favor the PQ for a plurality or minority government in the 127-seat National Assembly, though tight regional contests and voter shifts before election day continue to influence probabilities.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
市场开放时间： Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
交易量
$887,034结束日期
2026-10-05市场开放时间
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETParliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).The Parti Québécois holds a clear lead in trader consensus for forming the next Quebec government after the October 5 election, driven by its consistent polling edge of around 29% and stronger positioning among francophone voters under leader Paul St-Pierre Plamondon. Recent Léger, Pallas, and Synopsis surveys show the CAQ closing some ground to about 24% under new Premier Christine Fréchette, while the Liberals have slipped to roughly 22% and other parties trail further behind. The race remains fluid with over 40% of decided voters open to switching and key campaign issues including healthcare, housing costs, and U.S. tariffs. Seat projections favor the PQ for a plurality or minority government in the 127-seat National Assembly, though tight regional contests and voter shifts before election day continue to influence probabilities.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
交易量
$887,034结束日期
2026-10-05市场开放时间
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETThe Parti Québécois holds a clear lead in trader consensus for forming the next Quebec government after the October 5 election, driven by its consistent polling edge of around 29% and stronger positioning among francophone voters under leader Paul St-Pierre Plamondon. Recent Léger, Pallas, and Synopsis surveys show the CAQ closing some ground to about 24% under new Premier Christine Fréchette, while the Liberals have slipped to roughly 22% and other parties trail further behind. The race remains fluid with over 40% of decided voters open to switching and key campaign issues including healthcare, housing costs, and U.S. tariffs. Seat projections favor the PQ for a plurality or minority government in the 127-seat National Assembly, though tight regional contests and voter shifts before election day continue to influence probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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