Arthur Henrique (PL) holds a commanding lead in trader pricing for the October 2026 Roraima gubernatorial election due to his 60.87% victory in the June supplementary contest and a recent Quaest poll showing 60% support against interim governor Soldado Sampaio at 27%. As former mayor of Boa Vista, he benefits from high name recognition and party infrastructure in the small electorate. The supplementary result, though not certified because his candidacy ran sub judice over desincompatibilização timing, reinforced voter preference. Remaining judicial review and low single-digit support for minor candidates such as Farah Mesquita and Rosi Aires limit near-term shifts, though a late ruling barring Henrique or major campaign developments could narrow the gap before the October 4 first round.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于阿图尔·恩里克 93%
士兵桑帕约 4.1%
法拉·梅斯基塔 2.1%
Clébio Genuíno 1.1%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
阿图尔·恩里克
93%
士兵桑帕约
4%
法拉·梅斯基塔
2%
Clébio Genuíno
1%
罗西·艾雷斯
1%
阿图尔·恩里克 93%
士兵桑帕约 4.1%
法拉·梅斯基塔 2.1%
Clébio Genuíno 1.1%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
阿图尔·恩里克
$4,438 交易量
93%
士兵桑帕约
$183 交易量
4%
法拉·梅斯基塔
$153 交易量
2%
Clébio Genuíno
$281 交易量
1%
罗西·艾雷斯
$222 交易量
1%
The Roraima gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Arthur Henrique (PL) holds a commanding lead in trader pricing for the October 2026 Roraima gubernatorial election due to his 60.87% victory in the June supplementary contest and a recent Quaest poll showing 60% support against interim governor Soldado Sampaio at 27%. As former mayor of Boa Vista, he benefits from high name recognition and party infrastructure in the small electorate. The supplementary result, though not certified because his candidacy ran sub judice over desincompatibilização timing, reinforced voter preference. Remaining judicial review and low single-digit support for minor candidates such as Farah Mesquita and Rosi Aires limit near-term shifts, though a late ruling barring Henrique or major campaign developments could narrow the gap before the October 4 first round.
The Roraima gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 5:38 AM ET
交易量
$5,277结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 5:38 AM ETThe Roraima gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Arthur Henrique (PL) holds a commanding lead in trader pricing for the October 2026 Roraima gubernatorial election due to his 60.87% victory in the June supplementary contest and a recent Quaest poll showing 60% support against interim governor Soldado Sampaio at 27%. As former mayor of Boa Vista, he benefits from high name recognition and party infrastructure in the small electorate. The supplementary result, though not certified because his candidacy ran sub judice over desincompatibilização timing, reinforced voter preference. Remaining judicial review and low single-digit support for minor candidates such as Farah Mesquita and Rosi Aires limit near-term shifts, though a late ruling barring Henrique or major campaign developments could narrow the gap before the October 4 first round.
The Roraima gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$5,277结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 5:38 AM ETArthur Henrique (PL) holds a commanding lead in trader pricing for the October 2026 Roraima gubernatorial election due to his 60.87% victory in the June supplementary contest and a recent Quaest poll showing 60% support against interim governor Soldado Sampaio at 27%. As former mayor of Boa Vista, he benefits from high name recognition and party infrastructure in the small electorate. The supplementary result, though not certified because his candidacy ran sub judice over desincompatibilização timing, reinforced voter preference. Remaining judicial review and low single-digit support for minor candidates such as Farah Mesquita and Rosi Aires limit near-term shifts, though a late ruling barring Henrique or major campaign developments could narrow the gap before the October 4 first round.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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