Fábio Mitidieri (PSD), the incumbent governor seeking re-election, holds an 82% market price driven by consistent leads in multiple recent polls for the October 4 first-round vote, including strong showings above 50% in valid-vote scenarios from institutes such as Global and earlier CTAS surveys. His position benefits from name recognition, an established coalition, and campaign momentum in the final weeks. Valmir de Francisquinho (Republicanos), priced at 16.5%, remains the primary challenger but trails in most head-to-head and multi-candidate measurements released in September. Minor candidates including Ricardo Marques (PL), Emanuel Cacho (PSDB), Taty Cristina de Jesus (DC), and Dr. Helton (PSOL) register negligible shares consistent with their low single-digit or sub-1% polling averages. Trader pricing reflects the narrow window before voting and the structural advantage of incumbency in a six-candidate field.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于法比奥 82%
瓦尔米尔·德·弗朗西斯基尼奥 17%
塔蒂·克里斯蒂娜·德·热苏斯 <1%
埃尔顿博士 <1%
$29,297 交易量
$29,297 交易量
2026-10-04
法比奥
82%
瓦尔米尔·德·弗朗西斯基尼奥
17%
塔蒂·克里斯蒂娜·德·热苏斯
<1%
埃尔顿博士
<1%
埃马努埃尔·卡乔
<1%
里卡多·马尔克斯
<1%
法比奥 82%
瓦尔米尔·德·弗朗西斯基尼奥 17%
塔蒂·克里斯蒂娜·德·热苏斯 <1%
埃尔顿博士 <1%
$29,297 交易量
$29,297 交易量
2026-10-04
法比奥
$19,025 交易量
82%
瓦尔米尔·德·弗朗西斯基尼奥
$6,583 交易量
17%
塔蒂·克里斯蒂娜·德·热苏斯
$1,712 交易量
<1%
埃尔顿博士
$900 交易量
<1%
埃马努埃尔·卡乔
$634 交易量
<1%
里卡多·马尔克斯
$443 交易量
<1%
The Sergipe gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Fábio Mitidieri (PSD), the incumbent governor seeking re-election, holds an 82% market price driven by consistent leads in multiple recent polls for the October 4 first-round vote, including strong showings above 50% in valid-vote scenarios from institutes such as Global and earlier CTAS surveys. His position benefits from name recognition, an established coalition, and campaign momentum in the final weeks. Valmir de Francisquinho (Republicanos), priced at 16.5%, remains the primary challenger but trails in most head-to-head and multi-candidate measurements released in September. Minor candidates including Ricardo Marques (PL), Emanuel Cacho (PSDB), Taty Cristina de Jesus (DC), and Dr. Helton (PSOL) register negligible shares consistent with their low single-digit or sub-1% polling averages. Trader pricing reflects the narrow window before voting and the structural advantage of incumbency in a six-candidate field.
The Sergipe gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ET
交易量
$29,297结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ETThe Sergipe gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Fábio Mitidieri (PSD), the incumbent governor seeking re-election, holds an 82% market price driven by consistent leads in multiple recent polls for the October 4 first-round vote, including strong showings above 50% in valid-vote scenarios from institutes such as Global and earlier CTAS surveys. His position benefits from name recognition, an established coalition, and campaign momentum in the final weeks. Valmir de Francisquinho (Republicanos), priced at 16.5%, remains the primary challenger but trails in most head-to-head and multi-candidate measurements released in September. Minor candidates including Ricardo Marques (PL), Emanuel Cacho (PSDB), Taty Cristina de Jesus (DC), and Dr. Helton (PSOL) register negligible shares consistent with their low single-digit or sub-1% polling averages. Trader pricing reflects the narrow window before voting and the structural advantage of incumbency in a six-candidate field.
The Sergipe gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$29,297结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ETFábio Mitidieri (PSD), the incumbent governor seeking re-election, holds an 82% market price driven by consistent leads in multiple recent polls for the October 4 first-round vote, including strong showings above 50% in valid-vote scenarios from institutes such as Global and earlier CTAS surveys. His position benefits from name recognition, an established coalition, and campaign momentum in the final weeks. Valmir de Francisquinho (Republicanos), priced at 16.5%, remains the primary challenger but trails in most head-to-head and multi-candidate measurements released in September. Minor candidates including Ricardo Marques (PL), Emanuel Cacho (PSDB), Taty Cristina de Jesus (DC), and Dr. Helton (PSOL) register negligible shares consistent with their low single-digit or sub-1% polling averages. Trader pricing reflects the narrow window before voting and the structural advantage of incumbency in a six-candidate field.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题