Incumbent Republican Nathaniel Moran holds a commanding position in the Texas 1st Congressional District race due to the area's entrenched Republican advantage, reflected in presidential margins exceeding 70 percent for the GOP in 2024 and consistent Solid or Safe Republican ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. Moran advanced unopposed through the March 2026 Republican primary, while Democrat Yolanda Prince secured her nomination in the May runoff after a low-turnout contest. Substantial fundraising disparities, with Moran reporting over $1.7 million raised compared to under $10,000 for Prince as of mid-2026, reinforce the gap ahead of the November 3 general election. An independent candidate appears on the ballot but shows limited visibility. Late-cycle developments such as an incumbent scandal, health event, or unprecedented national partisan swing could theoretically alter dynamics, though the district's partisan voter index and historical voting patterns limit the scope for such shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$45,127 交易量
$45,127 交易量
2026-11-02
纳撒尼尔·莫兰（共和党）
95%
尤兰达·普林斯（民主党）
5%
$45,127 交易量
$45,127 交易量
2026-11-02
纳撒尼尔·莫兰（共和党）
$5,321 交易量
95%
尤兰达·普林斯（民主党）
$39,806 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nathaniel Moran holds a commanding position in the Texas 1st Congressional District race due to the area's entrenched Republican advantage, reflected in presidential margins exceeding 70 percent for the GOP in 2024 and consistent Solid or Safe Republican ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. Moran advanced unopposed through the March 2026 Republican primary, while Democrat Yolanda Prince secured her nomination in the May runoff after a low-turnout contest. Substantial fundraising disparities, with Moran reporting over $1.7 million raised compared to under $10,000 for Prince as of mid-2026, reinforce the gap ahead of the November 3 general election. An independent candidate appears on the ballot but shows limited visibility. Late-cycle developments such as an incumbent scandal, health event, or unprecedented national partisan swing could theoretically alter dynamics, though the district's partisan voter index and historical voting patterns limit the scope for such shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$45,127结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nathaniel Moran holds a commanding position in the Texas 1st Congressional District race due to the area's entrenched Republican advantage, reflected in presidential margins exceeding 70 percent for the GOP in 2024 and consistent Solid or Safe Republican ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. Moran advanced unopposed through the March 2026 Republican primary, while Democrat Yolanda Prince secured her nomination in the May runoff after a low-turnout contest. Substantial fundraising disparities, with Moran reporting over $1.7 million raised compared to under $10,000 for Prince as of mid-2026, reinforce the gap ahead of the November 3 general election. An independent candidate appears on the ballot but shows limited visibility. Late-cycle developments such as an incumbent scandal, health event, or unprecedented national partisan swing could theoretically alter dynamics, though the district's partisan voter index and historical voting patterns limit the scope for such shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$45,127结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETIncumbent Republican Nathaniel Moran holds a commanding position in the Texas 1st Congressional District race due to the area's entrenched Republican advantage, reflected in presidential margins exceeding 70 percent for the GOP in 2024 and consistent Solid or Safe Republican ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. Moran advanced unopposed through the March 2026 Republican primary, while Democrat Yolanda Prince secured her nomination in the May runoff after a low-turnout contest. Substantial fundraising disparities, with Moran reporting over $1.7 million raised compared to under $10,000 for Prince as of mid-2026, reinforce the gap ahead of the November 3 general election. An independent candidate appears on the ballot but shows limited visibility. Late-cycle developments such as an incumbent scandal, health event, or unprecedented national partisan swing could theoretically alter dynamics, though the district's partisan voter index and historical voting patterns limit the scope for such shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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