The new boundaries for Utah's 1st Congressional District, drawn after court-ordered redistricting, anchor the seat in Democratic-leaning areas of Salt Lake County and produced a 24-point margin for the Democratic presidential candidate in 2024. This structural shift underpins trader consensus around Ben McAdams, who secured the Democratic nomination in June after raising over $2 million and defeating progressive challengers in the primary. Riley Owen, the Republican nominee selected at convention, trails sharply in fundraising and faces an uphill path in the solidly Democratic district. McAdams holds a commanding position ahead of the November general election, though late developments such as candidate health issues, major scandals, or unusually low Democratic turnout could still narrow the gap before ballots are cast.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$42,110 交易量
$42,110 交易量
2026-11-03
本·麦克亚当斯（民主党）
95%
赖利·欧文（共和党）
4%
$42,110 交易量
$42,110 交易量
2026-11-03
本·麦克亚当斯（民主党）
$5,649 交易量
95%
赖利·欧文（共和党）
$36,462 交易量
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The new boundaries for Utah's 1st Congressional District, drawn after court-ordered redistricting, anchor the seat in Democratic-leaning areas of Salt Lake County and produced a 24-point margin for the Democratic presidential candidate in 2024. This structural shift underpins trader consensus around Ben McAdams, who secured the Democratic nomination in June after raising over $2 million and defeating progressive challengers in the primary. Riley Owen, the Republican nominee selected at convention, trails sharply in fundraising and faces an uphill path in the solidly Democratic district. McAdams holds a commanding position ahead of the November general election, though late developments such as candidate health issues, major scandals, or unusually low Democratic turnout could still narrow the gap before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
交易量
$42,110结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The new boundaries for Utah's 1st Congressional District, drawn after court-ordered redistricting, anchor the seat in Democratic-leaning areas of Salt Lake County and produced a 24-point margin for the Democratic presidential candidate in 2024. This structural shift underpins trader consensus around Ben McAdams, who secured the Democratic nomination in June after raising over $2 million and defeating progressive challengers in the primary. Riley Owen, the Republican nominee selected at convention, trails sharply in fundraising and faces an uphill path in the solidly Democratic district. McAdams holds a commanding position ahead of the November general election, though late developments such as candidate health issues, major scandals, or unusually low Democratic turnout could still narrow the gap before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$42,110结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETThe new boundaries for Utah's 1st Congressional District, drawn after court-ordered redistricting, anchor the seat in Democratic-leaning areas of Salt Lake County and produced a 24-point margin for the Democratic presidential candidate in 2024. This structural shift underpins trader consensus around Ben McAdams, who secured the Democratic nomination in June after raising over $2 million and defeating progressive challengers in the primary. Riley Owen, the Republican nominee selected at convention, trails sharply in fundraising and faces an uphill path in the solidly Democratic district. McAdams holds a commanding position ahead of the November general election, though late developments such as candidate health issues, major scandals, or unusually low Democratic turnout could still narrow the gap before ballots are cast.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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