Incumbent Keith Self secured the Republican nomination with an 80% primary margin in March 2026, while Evan Hunt ran unopposed in the Democratic primary for the November general election. TX-03 has delivered consistent Republican presidential margins exceeding 17 points in recent cycles, aligning with trader consensus that assigns Self a strong implied probability. Hunt has focused campaign efforts on town halls and repeated debate challenges, emphasizing infrastructure funding, education, and government accountability, yet fundraising and polling trends have not materially narrowed the gap. The seat's structural partisan composition and Self's incumbency create significant barriers to an upset, though unforeseen developments such as major scandals or turnout shifts could still influence the final outcome before election day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$34,305 交易量
$34,305 交易量
2026-11-02
基思·塞尔夫（共和党）
94%
埃文·亨特（民主党）
7%
$34,305 交易量
$34,305 交易量
2026-11-02
基思·塞尔夫（共和党）
$23,802 交易量
94%
埃文·亨特（民主党）
$10,503 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Keith Self secured the Republican nomination with an 80% primary margin in March 2026, while Evan Hunt ran unopposed in the Democratic primary for the November general election. TX-03 has delivered consistent Republican presidential margins exceeding 17 points in recent cycles, aligning with trader consensus that assigns Self a strong implied probability. Hunt has focused campaign efforts on town halls and repeated debate challenges, emphasizing infrastructure funding, education, and government accountability, yet fundraising and polling trends have not materially narrowed the gap. The seat's structural partisan composition and Self's incumbency create significant barriers to an upset, though unforeseen developments such as major scandals or turnout shifts could still influence the final outcome before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$34,305结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Keith Self secured the Republican nomination with an 80% primary margin in March 2026, while Evan Hunt ran unopposed in the Democratic primary for the November general election. TX-03 has delivered consistent Republican presidential margins exceeding 17 points in recent cycles, aligning with trader consensus that assigns Self a strong implied probability. Hunt has focused campaign efforts on town halls and repeated debate challenges, emphasizing infrastructure funding, education, and government accountability, yet fundraising and polling trends have not materially narrowed the gap. The seat's structural partisan composition and Self's incumbency create significant barriers to an upset, though unforeseen developments such as major scandals or turnout shifts could still influence the final outcome before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$34,305结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETIncumbent Keith Self secured the Republican nomination with an 80% primary margin in March 2026, while Evan Hunt ran unopposed in the Democratic primary for the November general election. TX-03 has delivered consistent Republican presidential margins exceeding 17 points in recent cycles, aligning with trader consensus that assigns Self a strong implied probability. Hunt has focused campaign efforts on town halls and repeated debate challenges, emphasizing infrastructure funding, education, and government accountability, yet fundraising and polling trends have not materially narrowed the gap. The seat's structural partisan composition and Self's incumbency create significant barriers to an upset, though unforeseen developments such as major scandals or turnout shifts could still influence the final outcome before election day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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