Incumbent Republican Jake Ellzey holds a commanding position in the Texas 6th congressional district race, backed by the district's consistent Republican voting patterns, including strong 2024 margins for GOP presidential and Senate candidates. Ellzey secured his party's nomination decisively in the March 2026 primary, while Democrat Danny Minton advanced unopposed on the other side. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solidly Republican, reflecting limited Democratic competitiveness in this suburban Dallas-Fort Worth area. Ellzey's substantial fundraising edge and lack of recent developments that have altered the baseline further align trader consensus with historical patterns for safely held House districts. Late-breaking events such as a major scandal, health development, or sharp national partisan swing could still influence the November 3 outcome, though structural factors make such shifts improbable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$52,745 交易量
$52,745 交易量
2026-11-02
杰克·埃尔齐 (共和党)
96%
丹尼·明顿（民主党）
5%
$52,745 交易量
$52,745 交易量
2026-11-02
杰克·埃尔齐 (共和党)
$25,754 交易量
96%
丹尼·明顿（民主党）
$26,991 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Jake Ellzey holds a commanding position in the Texas 6th congressional district race, backed by the district's consistent Republican voting patterns, including strong 2024 margins for GOP presidential and Senate candidates. Ellzey secured his party's nomination decisively in the March 2026 primary, while Democrat Danny Minton advanced unopposed on the other side. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solidly Republican, reflecting limited Democratic competitiveness in this suburban Dallas-Fort Worth area. Ellzey's substantial fundraising edge and lack of recent developments that have altered the baseline further align trader consensus with historical patterns for safely held House districts. Late-breaking events such as a major scandal, health development, or sharp national partisan swing could still influence the November 3 outcome, though structural factors make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$52,745结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Jake Ellzey holds a commanding position in the Texas 6th congressional district race, backed by the district's consistent Republican voting patterns, including strong 2024 margins for GOP presidential and Senate candidates. Ellzey secured his party's nomination decisively in the March 2026 primary, while Democrat Danny Minton advanced unopposed on the other side. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solidly Republican, reflecting limited Democratic competitiveness in this suburban Dallas-Fort Worth area. Ellzey's substantial fundraising edge and lack of recent developments that have altered the baseline further align trader consensus with historical patterns for safely held House districts. Late-breaking events such as a major scandal, health development, or sharp national partisan swing could still influence the November 3 outcome, though structural factors make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$52,745结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETIncumbent Republican Jake Ellzey holds a commanding position in the Texas 6th congressional district race, backed by the district's consistent Republican voting patterns, including strong 2024 margins for GOP presidential and Senate candidates. Ellzey secured his party's nomination decisively in the March 2026 primary, while Democrat Danny Minton advanced unopposed on the other side. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solidly Republican, reflecting limited Democratic competitiveness in this suburban Dallas-Fort Worth area. Ellzey's substantial fundraising edge and lack of recent developments that have altered the baseline further align trader consensus with historical patterns for safely held House districts. Late-breaking events such as a major scandal, health development, or sharp national partisan swing could still influence the November 3 outcome, though structural factors make such shifts improbable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题