Incumbent Republican Ann Wagner holds a clear edge in Missouri’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, backed by the seat’s consistent Republican tilt and her long tenure since 2013. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Republican as of early September, reflecting the district’s 2024 presidential results and Wagner’s primary victory. Democratic nominee Fred Wellman, a military veteran who narrowly won his August primary, trails in the sole available May poll and faces a substantial fundraising deficit. Trader consensus pricing these probabilities aligns with the structural advantages for the incumbent, including campaign resources and voter base stability, though the suburban St. Louis seat has shown occasional competitiveness on economic messaging. No major developments since the primaries have shifted the outlook.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$11,685 交易量
$11,685 交易量
2026-11-02
安·瓦格纳（共和党）
59%
弗雷德·韦尔曼（民主党）
39%
$11,685 交易量
$11,685 交易量
2026-11-02
安·瓦格纳（共和党）
$6,087 交易量
59%
弗雷德·韦尔曼（民主党）
$5,598 交易量
39%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Ann Wagner holds a clear edge in Missouri’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, backed by the seat’s consistent Republican tilt and her long tenure since 2013. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Republican as of early September, reflecting the district’s 2024 presidential results and Wagner’s primary victory. Democratic nominee Fred Wellman, a military veteran who narrowly won his August primary, trails in the sole available May poll and faces a substantial fundraising deficit. Trader consensus pricing these probabilities aligns with the structural advantages for the incumbent, including campaign resources and voter base stability, though the suburban St. Louis seat has shown occasional competitiveness on economic messaging. No major developments since the primaries have shifted the outlook.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$11,685结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Ann Wagner holds a clear edge in Missouri’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, backed by the seat’s consistent Republican tilt and her long tenure since 2013. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Republican as of early September, reflecting the district’s 2024 presidential results and Wagner’s primary victory. Democratic nominee Fred Wellman, a military veteran who narrowly won his August primary, trails in the sole available May poll and faces a substantial fundraising deficit. Trader consensus pricing these probabilities aligns with the structural advantages for the incumbent, including campaign resources and voter base stability, though the suburban St. Louis seat has shown occasional competitiveness on economic messaging. No major developments since the primaries have shifted the outlook.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$11,685结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETIncumbent Republican Ann Wagner holds a clear edge in Missouri’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, backed by the seat’s consistent Republican tilt and her long tenure since 2013. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Republican as of early September, reflecting the district’s 2024 presidential results and Wagner’s primary victory. Democratic nominee Fred Wellman, a military veteran who narrowly won his August primary, trails in the sole available May poll and faces a substantial fundraising deficit. Trader consensus pricing these probabilities aligns with the structural advantages for the incumbent, including campaign resources and voter base stability, though the suburban St. Louis seat has shown occasional competitiveness on economic messaging. No major developments since the primaries have shifted the outlook.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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