Missouri’s 6th Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat following the retirement of longtime incumbent Sam Graves, who won reelection with over 70 percent in 2024. Chris Stigall secured the GOP nomination in the August primary with key endorsements from Graves and U.S. Senator Eric Schmitt, positioning him as the continuity candidate in a district that covers rural northern Missouri and parts of the Kansas City Northland. Josh Smead emerged from a competitive Democratic primary but faces structural headwinds in a district rated safe Republican by major forecasters. With the general election set for November 3, trader consensus around Stigall’s commanding lead reflects the district’s partisan composition and limited competitive dynamics, though unexpected events such as major campaign developments or turnout shifts could still influence the final margin.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$43,095 交易量
$43,095 交易量
克里斯·斯蒂格尔(共和党)
95%
乔什·斯米德(民主党)
6%
$43,095 交易量
$43,095 交易量
克里斯·斯蒂格尔(共和党)
95%
乔什·斯米德(民主党)
6%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Missouri’s 6th Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat following the retirement of longtime incumbent Sam Graves, who won reelection with over 70 percent in 2024. Chris Stigall secured the GOP nomination in the August primary with key endorsements from Graves and U.S. Senator Eric Schmitt, positioning him as the continuity candidate in a district that covers rural northern Missouri and parts of the Kansas City Northland. Josh Smead emerged from a competitive Democratic primary but faces structural headwinds in a district rated safe Republican by major forecasters. With the general election set for November 3, trader consensus around Stigall’s commanding lead reflects the district’s partisan composition and limited competitive dynamics, though unexpected events such as major campaign developments or turnout shifts could still influence the final margin.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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