Bob Onder, the Republican incumbent first elected in 2024, holds a commanding lead in Missouri’s 3rd Congressional District due to the district’s consistent Republican tilt, his comfortable primary victory over challenger John Fraser, and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $950,000 compared to Democratic nominee Bethany Mann’s roughly $43,000. The district, redrawn to include St. Charles County and portions of central Missouri, has remained under Republican control since 2013 and carries solid Republican ratings from major forecasters. Mann, the 2024 nominee who won her primary, faces structural headwinds in a seat where Republican performance in recent cycles has exceeded 60 percent. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unexpected national partisan swing could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$31,634 交易量
$31,634 交易量
2026-11-02
鲍勃·昂德（共和党）
94%
贝瑟妮·曼恩（民主党）
5%
$31,634 交易量
$31,634 交易量
2026-11-02
鲍勃·昂德（共和党）
$13,212 交易量
94%
贝瑟妮·曼恩（民主党）
$18,422 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Bob Onder, the Republican incumbent first elected in 2024, holds a commanding lead in Missouri’s 3rd Congressional District due to the district’s consistent Republican tilt, his comfortable primary victory over challenger John Fraser, and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $950,000 compared to Democratic nominee Bethany Mann’s roughly $43,000. The district, redrawn to include St. Charles County and portions of central Missouri, has remained under Republican control since 2013 and carries solid Republican ratings from major forecasters. Mann, the 2024 nominee who won her primary, faces structural headwinds in a seat where Republican performance in recent cycles has exceeded 60 percent. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unexpected national partisan swing could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$31,634结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Bob Onder, the Republican incumbent first elected in 2024, holds a commanding lead in Missouri’s 3rd Congressional District due to the district’s consistent Republican tilt, his comfortable primary victory over challenger John Fraser, and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $950,000 compared to Democratic nominee Bethany Mann’s roughly $43,000. The district, redrawn to include St. Charles County and portions of central Missouri, has remained under Republican control since 2013 and carries solid Republican ratings from major forecasters. Mann, the 2024 nominee who won her primary, faces structural headwinds in a seat where Republican performance in recent cycles has exceeded 60 percent. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unexpected national partisan swing could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$31,634结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETBob Onder, the Republican incumbent first elected in 2024, holds a commanding lead in Missouri’s 3rd Congressional District due to the district’s consistent Republican tilt, his comfortable primary victory over challenger John Fraser, and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $950,000 compared to Democratic nominee Bethany Mann’s roughly $43,000. The district, redrawn to include St. Charles County and portions of central Missouri, has remained under Republican control since 2013 and carries solid Republican ratings from major forecasters. Mann, the 2024 nominee who won her primary, faces structural headwinds in a seat where Republican performance in recent cycles has exceeded 60 percent. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unexpected national partisan swing could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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