Incumbent Republican Brad Finstad holds an 82% implied probability in the MN-01 House race, reflecting the district’s R+6 partisan voting index, his 17-point 2024 reelection margin, and consistent “Likely Republican” ratings from handicappers including the Cook Political Report. Democrat Jake Johnson, a first-time candidate and high school math teacher, has narrowed the gap through strong fundraising near $2 million, an aggressive schedule of town halls across all 21 counties, and an endorsement from former GOP Governor Arne Carlson. National Democrats placed the seat on their Red to Blue target list after Cook shifted the rating from Solid Republican in June, prompting early television advertising. With the November 3 general election approaching, the Republican edge rests on structural advantages and incumbency, while Johnson’s visibility and cross-aisle support keep the outcome within the range of competitive scenarios.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$42,428 交易量
$42,428 交易量
2026-11-02
布拉德·芬斯塔德（共和党）
82%
杰克·约翰逊（民主党）
18%
$42,428 交易量
$42,428 交易量
2026-11-02
布拉德·芬斯塔德（共和党）
$16,042 交易量
82%
杰克·约翰逊（民主党）
$26,386 交易量
18%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brad Finstad holds an 82% implied probability in the MN-01 House race, reflecting the district’s R+6 partisan voting index, his 17-point 2024 reelection margin, and consistent “Likely Republican” ratings from handicappers including the Cook Political Report. Democrat Jake Johnson, a first-time candidate and high school math teacher, has narrowed the gap through strong fundraising near $2 million, an aggressive schedule of town halls across all 21 counties, and an endorsement from former GOP Governor Arne Carlson. National Democrats placed the seat on their Red to Blue target list after Cook shifted the rating from Solid Republican in June, prompting early television advertising. With the November 3 general election approaching, the Republican edge rests on structural advantages and incumbency, while Johnson’s visibility and cross-aisle support keep the outcome within the range of competitive scenarios.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$42,428结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brad Finstad holds an 82% implied probability in the MN-01 House race, reflecting the district’s R+6 partisan voting index, his 17-point 2024 reelection margin, and consistent “Likely Republican” ratings from handicappers including the Cook Political Report. Democrat Jake Johnson, a first-time candidate and high school math teacher, has narrowed the gap through strong fundraising near $2 million, an aggressive schedule of town halls across all 21 counties, and an endorsement from former GOP Governor Arne Carlson. National Democrats placed the seat on their Red to Blue target list after Cook shifted the rating from Solid Republican in June, prompting early television advertising. With the November 3 general election approaching, the Republican edge rests on structural advantages and incumbency, while Johnson’s visibility and cross-aisle support keep the outcome within the range of competitive scenarios.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$42,428结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETIncumbent Republican Brad Finstad holds an 82% implied probability in the MN-01 House race, reflecting the district’s R+6 partisan voting index, his 17-point 2024 reelection margin, and consistent “Likely Republican” ratings from handicappers including the Cook Political Report. Democrat Jake Johnson, a first-time candidate and high school math teacher, has narrowed the gap through strong fundraising near $2 million, an aggressive schedule of town halls across all 21 counties, and an endorsement from former GOP Governor Arne Carlson. National Democrats placed the seat on their Red to Blue target list after Cook shifted the rating from Solid Republican in June, prompting early television advertising. With the November 3 general election approaching, the Republican edge rests on structural advantages and incumbency, while Johnson’s visibility and cross-aisle support keep the outcome within the range of competitive scenarios.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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