Grace Meng secured the Democratic nomination in June 2026 by defeating challenger Chuck Park 57-43 percent in the primary, preserving her position as the clear favorite for the November general election in New York’s 6th Congressional District. The solidly Democratic Queens-based seat has returned her to Congress since 2013, supported by substantial fundraising advantages and endorsements from major unions and party figures. Republican nominee Joseph Chou advanced unopposed but trails significantly in resources and visibility. Nonpartisan rating organizations classify the race as Safe or Solid Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that prices Meng near 95 percent. A late national shift, unusually low Democratic turnout, or major unforeseen development could narrow the margin, though structural and financial barriers make such an outcome unlikely.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$21,609 交易量
$21,609 交易量
2026-11-03
孟昭文（民主党）
95%
周浩伟（共和党）
6%
$21,609 交易量
$21,609 交易量
2026-11-03
孟昭文（民主党）
$10,037 交易量
95%
周浩伟（共和党）
$11,572 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Grace Meng secured the Democratic nomination in June 2026 by defeating challenger Chuck Park 57-43 percent in the primary, preserving her position as the clear favorite for the November general election in New York’s 6th Congressional District. The solidly Democratic Queens-based seat has returned her to Congress since 2013, supported by substantial fundraising advantages and endorsements from major unions and party figures. Republican nominee Joseph Chou advanced unopposed but trails significantly in resources and visibility. Nonpartisan rating organizations classify the race as Safe or Solid Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that prices Meng near 95 percent. A late national shift, unusually low Democratic turnout, or major unforeseen development could narrow the margin, though structural and financial barriers make such an outcome unlikely.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
交易量
$21,609结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Grace Meng secured the Democratic nomination in June 2026 by defeating challenger Chuck Park 57-43 percent in the primary, preserving her position as the clear favorite for the November general election in New York’s 6th Congressional District. The solidly Democratic Queens-based seat has returned her to Congress since 2013, supported by substantial fundraising advantages and endorsements from major unions and party figures. Republican nominee Joseph Chou advanced unopposed but trails significantly in resources and visibility. Nonpartisan rating organizations classify the race as Safe or Solid Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that prices Meng near 95 percent. A late national shift, unusually low Democratic turnout, or major unforeseen development could narrow the margin, though structural and financial barriers make such an outcome unlikely.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$21,609结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETGrace Meng secured the Democratic nomination in June 2026 by defeating challenger Chuck Park 57-43 percent in the primary, preserving her position as the clear favorite for the November general election in New York’s 6th Congressional District. The solidly Democratic Queens-based seat has returned her to Congress since 2013, supported by substantial fundraising advantages and endorsements from major unions and party figures. Republican nominee Joseph Chou advanced unopposed but trails significantly in resources and visibility. Nonpartisan rating organizations classify the race as Safe or Solid Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that prices Meng near 95 percent. A late national shift, unusually low Democratic turnout, or major unforeseen development could narrow the margin, though structural and financial barriers make such an outcome unlikely.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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