Recent court rulings have restored Missouri’s 2022 congressional map for the November general election, reversing the Republican-drawn boundaries used in the August primary. Under the prior lines, the 5th District remains anchored in Democratic-leaning Kansas City territory, where incumbent Emanuel Cleaver has built long-standing support across multiple terms. This structural shift has produced a wide gap in trader pricing between Cleaver and Republican nominee Rick Brattin. Key upcoming factors include any final federal appellate decisions on the map and standard campaign dynamics such as turnout among urban and suburban voters. Late developments like candidate withdrawals or major scandals remain the primary routes that could narrow the current implied probability.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$30,786 交易量
$30,786 交易量
2026-11-03
埃曼纽尔·克利弗（民主党）
92%
里克·布拉特恩（共和党）
5%
$30,786 交易量
$30,786 交易量
2026-11-03
埃曼纽尔·克利弗（民主党）
$12,493 交易量
92%
里克·布拉特恩（共和党）
$18,293 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent court rulings have restored Missouri’s 2022 congressional map for the November general election, reversing the Republican-drawn boundaries used in the August primary. Under the prior lines, the 5th District remains anchored in Democratic-leaning Kansas City territory, where incumbent Emanuel Cleaver has built long-standing support across multiple terms. This structural shift has produced a wide gap in trader pricing between Cleaver and Republican nominee Rick Brattin. Key upcoming factors include any final federal appellate decisions on the map and standard campaign dynamics such as turnout among urban and suburban voters. Late developments like candidate withdrawals or major scandals remain the primary routes that could narrow the current implied probability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
交易量
$30,786结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent court rulings have restored Missouri’s 2022 congressional map for the November general election, reversing the Republican-drawn boundaries used in the August primary. Under the prior lines, the 5th District remains anchored in Democratic-leaning Kansas City territory, where incumbent Emanuel Cleaver has built long-standing support across multiple terms. This structural shift has produced a wide gap in trader pricing between Cleaver and Republican nominee Rick Brattin. Key upcoming factors include any final federal appellate decisions on the map and standard campaign dynamics such as turnout among urban and suburban voters. Late developments like candidate withdrawals or major scandals remain the primary routes that could narrow the current implied probability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$30,786结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETRecent court rulings have restored Missouri’s 2022 congressional map for the November general election, reversing the Republican-drawn boundaries used in the August primary. Under the prior lines, the 5th District remains anchored in Democratic-leaning Kansas City territory, where incumbent Emanuel Cleaver has built long-standing support across multiple terms. This structural shift has produced a wide gap in trader pricing between Cleaver and Republican nominee Rick Brattin. Key upcoming factors include any final federal appellate decisions on the map and standard campaign dynamics such as turnout among urban and suburban voters. Late developments like candidate withdrawals or major scandals remain the primary routes that could narrow the current implied probability.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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