Florida's 13th Congressional District remains structurally Republican-leaning, with a Partisan Voter Index around R+6 and Donald Trump carrying it by roughly 12 points in 2024, supporting incumbent Anna Paulina Luna's position as the clear frontrunner. Luna, seeking a third term after winning reelection in 2024, faced no Republican primary opposition and benefits from established name recognition and fundraising. Recent activity includes a late-August Democratic poll showing Leela Gray ahead 51-46 percent, followed by Gray's September 15 launch of a six-figure ad campaign emphasizing her military service while attacking Luna on costs and alleged corruption. Luna has responded with counter-ads targeting Gray's investments. Forecasters continue to rate the November 3 contest as Likely Republican, consistent with trader pricing that reflects these fundamentals over isolated polling.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
安娜·保利娜·卢娜（共和党）
74%
丽拉·格雷（民主党）
25%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
安娜·保利娜·卢娜（共和党）
$3,758 交易量
74%
丽拉·格雷（民主党）
$5,821 交易量
25%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 13th Congressional District remains structurally Republican-leaning, with a Partisan Voter Index around R+6 and Donald Trump carrying it by roughly 12 points in 2024, supporting incumbent Anna Paulina Luna's position as the clear frontrunner. Luna, seeking a third term after winning reelection in 2024, faced no Republican primary opposition and benefits from established name recognition and fundraising. Recent activity includes a late-August Democratic poll showing Leela Gray ahead 51-46 percent, followed by Gray's September 15 launch of a six-figure ad campaign emphasizing her military service while attacking Luna on costs and alleged corruption. Luna has responded with counter-ads targeting Gray's investments. Forecasters continue to rate the November 3 contest as Likely Republican, consistent with trader pricing that reflects these fundamentals over isolated polling.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ET
交易量
$9,579结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 13th Congressional District remains structurally Republican-leaning, with a Partisan Voter Index around R+6 and Donald Trump carrying it by roughly 12 points in 2024, supporting incumbent Anna Paulina Luna's position as the clear frontrunner. Luna, seeking a third term after winning reelection in 2024, faced no Republican primary opposition and benefits from established name recognition and fundraising. Recent activity includes a late-August Democratic poll showing Leela Gray ahead 51-46 percent, followed by Gray's September 15 launch of a six-figure ad campaign emphasizing her military service while attacking Luna on costs and alleged corruption. Luna has responded with counter-ads targeting Gray's investments. Forecasters continue to rate the November 3 contest as Likely Republican, consistent with trader pricing that reflects these fundamentals over isolated polling.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$9,579结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ETFlorida's 13th Congressional District remains structurally Republican-leaning, with a Partisan Voter Index around R+6 and Donald Trump carrying it by roughly 12 points in 2024, supporting incumbent Anna Paulina Luna's position as the clear frontrunner. Luna, seeking a third term after winning reelection in 2024, faced no Republican primary opposition and benefits from established name recognition and fundraising. Recent activity includes a late-August Democratic poll showing Leela Gray ahead 51-46 percent, followed by Gray's September 15 launch of a six-figure ad campaign emphasizing her military service while attacking Luna on costs and alleged corruption. Luna has responded with counter-ads targeting Gray's investments. Forecasters continue to rate the November 3 contest as Likely Republican, consistent with trader pricing that reflects these fundamentals over isolated polling.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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