Celeste Maloy's commanding position in the UT-03 House race stems primarily from the district's strong Republican lean, rated Solid Republican with a +47 partisan advantage following court-ordered redistricting that favored GOP candidates. Maloy secured the nomination in the June 2026 Republican primary by defeating challenger Phil Lyman with roughly 68% of the vote, aided by superior fundraising and endorsements. Democrat Kent Udell, the general election opponent on November 3, has raised limited funds and faces structural barriers in a district where recent presidential results showed Republican margins exceeding 40 points. Scenarios that could alter the outcome include unusually high Democratic turnout, late-breaking scandals, or major shifts in national political conditions, though no such developments have emerged in recent months.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$12,608 交易量
$12,608 交易量
2026-11-03
塞莱斯特·马洛伊（共和党）
95%
肯特·尤德尔（民主党）
6%
$12,608 交易量
$12,608 交易量
2026-11-03
塞莱斯特·马洛伊（共和党）
$10,176 交易量
95%
肯特·尤德尔（民主党）
$2,432 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Celeste Maloy's commanding position in the UT-03 House race stems primarily from the district's strong Republican lean, rated Solid Republican with a +47 partisan advantage following court-ordered redistricting that favored GOP candidates. Maloy secured the nomination in the June 2026 Republican primary by defeating challenger Phil Lyman with roughly 68% of the vote, aided by superior fundraising and endorsements. Democrat Kent Udell, the general election opponent on November 3, has raised limited funds and faces structural barriers in a district where recent presidential results showed Republican margins exceeding 40 points. Scenarios that could alter the outcome include unusually high Democratic turnout, late-breaking scandals, or major shifts in national political conditions, though no such developments have emerged in recent months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
交易量
$12,608结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Celeste Maloy's commanding position in the UT-03 House race stems primarily from the district's strong Republican lean, rated Solid Republican with a +47 partisan advantage following court-ordered redistricting that favored GOP candidates. Maloy secured the nomination in the June 2026 Republican primary by defeating challenger Phil Lyman with roughly 68% of the vote, aided by superior fundraising and endorsements. Democrat Kent Udell, the general election opponent on November 3, has raised limited funds and faces structural barriers in a district where recent presidential results showed Republican margins exceeding 40 points. Scenarios that could alter the outcome include unusually high Democratic turnout, late-breaking scandals, or major shifts in national political conditions, though no such developments have emerged in recent months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$12,608结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETCeleste Maloy's commanding position in the UT-03 House race stems primarily from the district's strong Republican lean, rated Solid Republican with a +47 partisan advantage following court-ordered redistricting that favored GOP candidates. Maloy secured the nomination in the June 2026 Republican primary by defeating challenger Phil Lyman with roughly 68% of the vote, aided by superior fundraising and endorsements. Democrat Kent Udell, the general election opponent on November 3, has raised limited funds and faces structural barriers in a district where recent presidential results showed Republican margins exceeding 40 points. Scenarios that could alter the outcome include unusually high Democratic turnout, late-breaking scandals, or major shifts in national political conditions, though no such developments have emerged in recent months.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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