Mike Kennedy holds a commanding position in Utah's 4th Congressional District as the Republican incumbent, backed by unified party support after securing roughly 79% at the state convention and advancing unopposed through the June 2026 primary. The district carries a Partisan Voter Index of R+17, placing it among the state's most reliably Republican seats, and independent ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify it as Solid or Safe Republican. Kennedy's substantial fundraising lead of over $800,000 compared to Democratic nominee Jonny Larsen's roughly $34,000 further reinforces the gap. A November 3 general election outcome remains subject to late developments such as a significant scandal or unusually high third-party vote share from Libertarian or unaffiliated candidates, though historical patterns and current structural advantages make such shifts improbable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$42,280 交易量
$42,280 交易量
2026-11-02
迈克·肯尼迪（共和党）
95%
乔尼·拉森（民主党）
4%
$42,280 交易量
$42,280 交易量
2026-11-02
迈克·肯尼迪（共和党）
$16,189 交易量
95%
乔尼·拉森（民主党）
$26,091 交易量
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mike Kennedy holds a commanding position in Utah's 4th Congressional District as the Republican incumbent, backed by unified party support after securing roughly 79% at the state convention and advancing unopposed through the June 2026 primary. The district carries a Partisan Voter Index of R+17, placing it among the state's most reliably Republican seats, and independent ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify it as Solid or Safe Republican. Kennedy's substantial fundraising lead of over $800,000 compared to Democratic nominee Jonny Larsen's roughly $34,000 further reinforces the gap. A November 3 general election outcome remains subject to late developments such as a significant scandal or unusually high third-party vote share from Libertarian or unaffiliated candidates, though historical patterns and current structural advantages make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$42,280结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mike Kennedy holds a commanding position in Utah's 4th Congressional District as the Republican incumbent, backed by unified party support after securing roughly 79% at the state convention and advancing unopposed through the June 2026 primary. The district carries a Partisan Voter Index of R+17, placing it among the state's most reliably Republican seats, and independent ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify it as Solid or Safe Republican. Kennedy's substantial fundraising lead of over $800,000 compared to Democratic nominee Jonny Larsen's roughly $34,000 further reinforces the gap. A November 3 general election outcome remains subject to late developments such as a significant scandal or unusually high third-party vote share from Libertarian or unaffiliated candidates, though historical patterns and current structural advantages make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$42,280结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETMike Kennedy holds a commanding position in Utah's 4th Congressional District as the Republican incumbent, backed by unified party support after securing roughly 79% at the state convention and advancing unopposed through the June 2026 primary. The district carries a Partisan Voter Index of R+17, placing it among the state's most reliably Republican seats, and independent ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify it as Solid or Safe Republican. Kennedy's substantial fundraising lead of over $800,000 compared to Democratic nominee Jonny Larsen's roughly $34,000 further reinforces the gap. A November 3 general election outcome remains subject to late developments such as a significant scandal or unusually high third-party vote share from Libertarian or unaffiliated candidates, though historical patterns and current structural advantages make such shifts improbable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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