Skip to main content

如需在美国交易,请访问 polymarket.us

icon for TX-12众议院选举获胜者

TX-12众议院选举获胜者

icon for TX-12众议院选举获胜者

TX-12众议院选举获胜者

Polymarket

$33,221 交易量

Polymarket

$33,221 交易量

克雷格·戈德曼(共和党)

$16,862 交易量

93%

安吉拉·罗德里格斯·普里利曼(民主党)

$16,358 交易量

7%

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Craig Goldman’s position as the strong frontrunner in Texas’s 12th congressional district stems from the seat’s consistent conservative lean, his status as the Republican incumbent since 2025, and an unopposed primary win. The district covers western portions of the Dallas–Fort Worth metroplex, including parts of Tarrant and Parker counties, where Republican candidates have prevailed by double-digit margins in recent cycles. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, citing limited Democratic infrastructure, negligible reported fundraising for challenger Heli Rodriguez Prilliman, and stable voter patterns. Trader consensus around 92% Republican reflects these structural factors and the absence of major disruptions. A significant national Democratic wave, sharp economic downturn, or unforeseen developments involving the incumbent remain the primary variables that could narrow the outcome before November 3.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$33,221
结束日期
2026-11-03
市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Craig Goldman’s position as the strong frontrunner in Texas’s 12th congressional district stems from the seat’s consistent conservative lean, his status as the Republican incumbent since 2025, and an unopposed primary win. The district covers western portions of the Dallas–Fort Worth metroplex, including parts of Tarrant and Parker counties, where Republican candidates have prevailed by double-digit margins in recent cycles. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, citing limited Democratic infrastructure, negligible reported fundraising for challenger Heli Rodriguez Prilliman, and stable voter patterns. Trader consensus around 92% Republican reflects these structural factors and the absence of major disruptions. A significant national Democratic wave, sharp economic downturn, or unforeseen developments involving the incumbent remain the primary variables that could narrow the outcome before November 3.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$33,221
结束日期
2026-11-03
市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"TX-12众议院选举获胜者"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"克雷格·戈德曼(共和党)",概率为 93%,其次是"安吉拉·罗德里格斯·普里利曼(民主党)",概率为 7%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 93¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 93%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"TX-12众议院选举获胜者"已产生 $33.2K 的总交易量(自Jan 28, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"TX-12众议院选举获胜者"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"TX-12众议院选举获胜者"的当前领先者是"克雷格·戈德曼(共和党)",概率为 93%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 93%。紧随其后的结果是"安吉拉·罗德里格斯·普里利曼(民主党)",概率为 7%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"TX-12众议院选举获胜者"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。