Colin Allred secured the Democratic nomination for Texas's 33rd congressional district after defeating incumbent Julie Johnson in the May 2026 primary runoff, positioning him against Republican Patrick Gillespie in the November general election. The newly redrawn district, now centered in Dallas County with a strong Democratic partisan lean reflected in ratings such as Solid Democratic from the Cook Political Report, drives trader consensus around Allred's commanding position. Allred's prior congressional experience, fundraising edge, and endorsements from figures like Rep. Jasmine Crockett further reinforce this outlook. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include late-breaking scandals, significant changes in turnout among key voting blocs, or unexpected national political developments within the resolution window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$15,594 交易量
$15,594 交易量
2026-11-02
科林·奥尔雷德（民主党）
96%
帕特里克·吉莱斯皮 (共和党)
1%
$15,594 交易量
$15,594 交易量
2026-11-02
科林·奥尔雷德（民主党）
$3,095 交易量
96%
帕特里克·吉莱斯皮 (共和党)
$12,499 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-33 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Colin Allred secured the Democratic nomination for Texas's 33rd congressional district after defeating incumbent Julie Johnson in the May 2026 primary runoff, positioning him against Republican Patrick Gillespie in the November general election. The newly redrawn district, now centered in Dallas County with a strong Democratic partisan lean reflected in ratings such as Solid Democratic from the Cook Political Report, drives trader consensus around Allred's commanding position. Allred's prior congressional experience, fundraising edge, and endorsements from figures like Rep. Jasmine Crockett further reinforce this outlook. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include late-breaking scandals, significant changes in turnout among key voting blocs, or unexpected national political developments within the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-33 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$15,594结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-33 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Colin Allred secured the Democratic nomination for Texas's 33rd congressional district after defeating incumbent Julie Johnson in the May 2026 primary runoff, positioning him against Republican Patrick Gillespie in the November general election. The newly redrawn district, now centered in Dallas County with a strong Democratic partisan lean reflected in ratings such as Solid Democratic from the Cook Political Report, drives trader consensus around Allred's commanding position. Allred's prior congressional experience, fundraising edge, and endorsements from figures like Rep. Jasmine Crockett further reinforce this outlook. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include late-breaking scandals, significant changes in turnout among key voting blocs, or unexpected national political developments within the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-33 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$15,594结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETColin Allred secured the Democratic nomination for Texas's 33rd congressional district after defeating incumbent Julie Johnson in the May 2026 primary runoff, positioning him against Republican Patrick Gillespie in the November general election. The newly redrawn district, now centered in Dallas County with a strong Democratic partisan lean reflected in ratings such as Solid Democratic from the Cook Political Report, drives trader consensus around Allred's commanding position. Allred's prior congressional experience, fundraising edge, and endorsements from figures like Rep. Jasmine Crockett further reinforce this outlook. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include late-breaking scandals, significant changes in turnout among key voting blocs, or unexpected national political developments within the resolution window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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