Tim Cook’s completed transition to Apple executive chairman on September 1, 2026, anchors trader sentiment in the “Which CEOs will be out before 2027?” market, pushing his outcome to near-certain resolution while others trade at single-digit implied probabilities. Low odds for Sundar Pichai, Andy Jassy, Sam Altman, and peers reflect steady tenures, with boards prioritizing continuity during heavy AI infrastructure spending and competitive model releases. No verified succession signals or performance shortfalls have emerged in recent months to shift consensus. Key watchpoints through year-end include Apple’s foldable iPhone launch under new CEO John Ternus, Meta and Google AI hardware updates, and any earnings commentary on leadership stability, though historical patterns favor minimal near-term disruption absent major regulatory or operational shocks.