The market's overwhelming 98.6% implied probability on "No" stems primarily from the extremely compressed timeframe—only months remain until the December 31, 2026 resolution deadline—with no verifiable signs, official announcements, or consensus indicators emerging to suggest an imminent Second Coming. Recent failed predictions, including viral 2025 rapture claims tied to Rosh Hashanah and various 2027 prophecies from fringe sources, have reinforced trader skepticism rather than momentum. Historical patterns of unfulfilled date-setting further anchor sentiment, as religious outcomes hinge on subjective interpretation and lack the measurable precursors seen in awards or chart markets. While traders acknowledge the inherent unpredictability of eschatological events, realistic upset scenarios would require an unprecedented, globally recognized development in the coming weeks that credible sources unanimously interpret as fulfillment, a threshold far beyond current cultural or religious discourse.