**Delegado Éder Mauro (PL) leads trader pricing for second place in the Pará Senate race at 61.5%, well ahead of Zequinha Marinho (Podemos) at 25% and lower probabilities for Celso Sabino, Chicão, and others.** Helder Barbalho (MDB) consistently tops first-preference polling as the clear frontrunner for one seat, leaving the second vacancy competitive among right- and center-leaning names. September surveys, including Veritá’s latest (fielded Sept 5–10), show Éder Mauro leading or near the top in consolidated or first-choice scenarios (often 17–38%), while second-preference data favors Zequinha or Chicão. This fragmentation, combined with Éder’s established name recognition as a three-term federal deputy and PL standard-bearer, underpins the market’s assessment of him as the strongest challenger for the remaining seat. With the October 4 election roughly three weeks away, recent candidate registrations, party conventions, and polling stability have reinforced this positioning among traders, though late shifts in second-choice preferences or turnout could still alter the outcome.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডDelegado Éder Mauro 62%
Zequinha Marinho 24%
Celso Sabino 7%
Helder 5.0%
$24,612 Vol.
$24,612 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Delegado Éder Mauro
62%
Zequinha Marinho
24%
Celso Sabino
7%
Helder
5%
Conti
3%
Edlaine Rodrigues
2%
Breno Guimarães
2%
Chicão
2%
Fernanda Lopes
1%
Gizelle Freitas
<1%
Willem da Silva
<1%
Delegado Éder Mauro 62%
Zequinha Marinho 24%
Celso Sabino 7%
Helder 5.0%
$24,612 Vol.
$24,612 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Delegado Éder Mauro
$13,545 Vol.
62%
Zequinha Marinho
$7,080 Vol.
24%
Celso Sabino
$480 Vol.
7%
Helder
$1,525 Vol.
5%
Conti
$272 Vol.
3%
Edlaine Rodrigues
$551 Vol.
2%
Breno Guimarães
$240 Vol.
2%
Chicão
$235 Vol.
2%
Fernanda Lopes
$208 Vol.
1%
Gizelle Freitas
$266 Vol.
<1%
Willem da Silva
$211 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Delegado Éder Mauro (PL) leads trader pricing for second place in the Pará Senate race at 61.5%, well ahead of Zequinha Marinho (Podemos) at 25% and lower probabilities for Celso Sabino, Chicão, and others.**
Helder Barbalho (MDB) consistently tops first-preference polling as the clear frontrunner for one seat, leaving the second vacancy competitive among right- and center-leaning names. September surveys, including Veritá’s latest (fielded Sept 5–10), show Éder Mauro leading or near the top in consolidated or first-choice scenarios (often 17–38%), while second-preference data favors Zequinha or Chicão. This fragmentation, combined with Éder’s established name recognition as a three-term federal deputy and PL standard-bearer, underpins the market’s assessment of him as the strongest challenger for the remaining seat.
With the October 4 election roughly three weeks away, recent candidate registrations, party conventions, and polling stability have reinforced this positioning among traders, though late shifts in second-choice preferences or turnout could still alter the outcome.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ET
ভলিউম
$24,612শেষ তারিখ
Oct 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Delegado Éder Mauro (PL) leads trader pricing for second place in the Pará Senate race at 61.5%, well ahead of Zequinha Marinho (Podemos) at 25% and lower probabilities for Celso Sabino, Chicão, and others.**
Helder Barbalho (MDB) consistently tops first-preference polling as the clear frontrunner for one seat, leaving the second vacancy competitive among right- and center-leaning names. September surveys, including Veritá’s latest (fielded Sept 5–10), show Éder Mauro leading or near the top in consolidated or first-choice scenarios (often 17–38%), while second-preference data favors Zequinha or Chicão. This fragmentation, combined with Éder’s established name recognition as a three-term federal deputy and PL standard-bearer, underpins the market’s assessment of him as the strongest challenger for the remaining seat.
With the October 4 election roughly three weeks away, recent candidate registrations, party conventions, and polling stability have reinforced this positioning among traders, though late shifts in second-choice preferences or turnout could still alter the outcome.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ভলিউম
$24,612শেষ তারিখ
Oct 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...**Delegado Éder Mauro (PL) leads trader pricing for second place in the Pará Senate race at 61.5%, well ahead of Zequinha Marinho (Podemos) at 25% and lower probabilities for Celso Sabino, Chicão, and others.** Helder Barbalho (MDB) consistently tops first-preference polling as the clear frontrunner for one seat, leaving the second vacancy competitive among right- and center-leaning names. September surveys, including Veritá’s latest (fielded Sept 5–10), show Éder Mauro leading or near the top in consolidated or first-choice scenarios (often 17–38%), while second-preference data favors Zequinha or Chicão. This fragmentation, combined with Éder’s established name recognition as a three-term federal deputy and PL standard-bearer, underpins the market’s assessment of him as the strongest challenger for the remaining seat. With the October 4 election roughly three weeks away, recent candidate registrations, party conventions, and polling stability have reinforced this positioning among traders, though late shifts in second-choice preferences or turnout could still alter the outcome.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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