Recent polls in São Paulo, including Datafolha (August 18–21) and Quaest (August 21–24), show Flavio Bolsonaro (PL) leading or tied with incumbent President Lula (PT) in first-round voting intentions for the October 2026 presidential election, with Flavio at 30–38% and Lula at 29–33%. This state-level edge for the PL senator, driven by stronger right-leaning support in Brazil’s largest electorate, underpins trader consensus favoring him for first place. Other candidates such as Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, Renan Santos, and Augusto Cury register in the low single digits, consistent with their limited polling in the state. The formal campaign period, including the start of free television and radio time in late August, has not yet produced shifts that alter these São Paulo-specific patterns. Lula maintains stronger national positioning outside the Southeast, but current evidence keeps the SP outcome tightly linked to the two frontrunners.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডFlavio Bolsonaro 68%
Lula 34.4%
Rui Costa Pimenta <1%
Clariana Barao <1%
$17,371 Vol.
$17,371 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Flavio Bolsonaro
68%
Lula
34%
Rui Costa Pimenta
<1%
Clariana Barao
<1%
Hertz Dias
<1%
Samara
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
<1%
Zema
<1%
Edmilson Costa
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
<1%
Pablo Marçal
<1%
Renan Santos
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
<1%
Flavio Bolsonaro 68%
Lula 34.4%
Rui Costa Pimenta <1%
Clariana Barao <1%
$17,371 Vol.
$17,371 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Flavio Bolsonaro
$6,078 Vol.
68%
Lula
$5,909 Vol.
34%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$427 Vol.
<1%
Clariana Barao
$426 Vol.
<1%
Hertz Dias
$421 Vol.
<1%
Samara
$418 Vol.
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$543 Vol.
<1%
Zema
$588 Vol.
<1%
Edmilson Costa
$426 Vol.
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$714 Vol.
<1%
Pablo Marçal
$378 Vol.
<1%
Renan Santos
$631 Vol.
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
$412 Vol.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in São Paulo, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from São Paulo.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in São Paulo. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent polls in São Paulo, including Datafolha (August 18–21) and Quaest (August 21–24), show Flavio Bolsonaro (PL) leading or tied with incumbent President Lula (PT) in first-round voting intentions for the October 2026 presidential election, with Flavio at 30–38% and Lula at 29–33%. This state-level edge for the PL senator, driven by stronger right-leaning support in Brazil’s largest electorate, underpins trader consensus favoring him for first place. Other candidates such as Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, Renan Santos, and Augusto Cury register in the low single digits, consistent with their limited polling in the state. The formal campaign period, including the start of free television and radio time in late August, has not yet produced shifts that alter these São Paulo-specific patterns. Lula maintains stronger national positioning outside the Southeast, but current evidence keeps the SP outcome tightly linked to the two frontrunners.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in São Paulo, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from São Paulo.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in São Paulo. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from São Paulo.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in São Paulo. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 17, 2026, 6:36 AM ET
ভলিউম
$17,371শেষ তারিখ
Oct 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 17, 2026, 6:36 AM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in São Paulo, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from São Paulo.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in São Paulo. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent polls in São Paulo, including Datafolha (August 18–21) and Quaest (August 21–24), show Flavio Bolsonaro (PL) leading or tied with incumbent President Lula (PT) in first-round voting intentions for the October 2026 presidential election, with Flavio at 30–38% and Lula at 29–33%. This state-level edge for the PL senator, driven by stronger right-leaning support in Brazil’s largest electorate, underpins trader consensus favoring him for first place. Other candidates such as Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, Renan Santos, and Augusto Cury register in the low single digits, consistent with their limited polling in the state. The formal campaign period, including the start of free television and radio time in late August, has not yet produced shifts that alter these São Paulo-specific patterns. Lula maintains stronger national positioning outside the Southeast, but current evidence keeps the SP outcome tightly linked to the two frontrunners.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in São Paulo, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from São Paulo.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in São Paulo. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from São Paulo.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in São Paulo. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
ভলিউম
$17,371শেষ তারিখ
Oct 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 17, 2026, 6:36 AM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls in São Paulo, including Datafolha (August 18–21) and Quaest (August 21–24), show Flavio Bolsonaro (PL) leading or tied with incumbent President Lula (PT) in first-round voting intentions for the October 2026 presidential election, with Flavio at 30–38% and Lula at 29–33%. This state-level edge for the PL senator, driven by stronger right-leaning support in Brazil’s largest electorate, underpins trader consensus favoring him for first place. Other candidates such as Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, Renan Santos, and Augusto Cury register in the low single digits, consistent with their limited polling in the state. The formal campaign period, including the start of free television and radio time in late August, has not yet produced shifts that alter these São Paulo-specific patterns. Lula maintains stronger national positioning outside the Southeast, but current evidence keeps the SP outcome tightly linked to the two frontrunners.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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