Recent polling for the Bahia gubernatorial race shows a technical tie or narrow ACM Neto lead between the incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT) and the former Salvador mayor (União Brasil), with both hovering near 37-48% depending on the survey. This closeness reflects Jerônimo’s incumbency and PT base in a traditional stronghold, offset by ACM Neto’s strong name recognition from his 2022 challenge and consistent support in capital and opposition-leaning areas. Ongoing campaign events, including interior tours and debates, plus voter indecision around 12-13%, sustain volatility. Lula’s alignment with Jerônimo and accusations of ACM Neto’s positioning add polarization that could shift preferences. Separation may emerge from final campaign momentum, turnout patterns, or late swings in key demographics before the October 6 first round.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডJerônimo Rodrigues 51%
ACM Neto 49%
Kleber Rosa <1%
José Carlos Aleluia <1%
$132,061 Vol.
$132,061 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Jerônimo Rodrigues
51%
ACM Neto
49%
Kleber Rosa
<1%
José Carlos Aleluia
<1%
João Roma
<1%
Bruno Soares Reis
<1%
Rui Costa
<1%
Jerônimo Rodrigues 51%
ACM Neto 49%
Kleber Rosa <1%
José Carlos Aleluia <1%
$132,061 Vol.
$132,061 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Jerônimo Rodrigues
$41,595 Vol.
51%
ACM Neto
$48,502 Vol.
49%
Kleber Rosa
$13,800 Vol.
<1%
José Carlos Aleluia
$11,906 Vol.
<1%
João Roma
$5,186 Vol.
<1%
Bruno Soares Reis
$5,325 Vol.
<1%
Rui Costa
$5,747 Vol.
<1%
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling for the Bahia gubernatorial race shows a technical tie or narrow ACM Neto lead between the incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT) and the former Salvador mayor (União Brasil), with both hovering near 37-48% depending on the survey. This closeness reflects Jerônimo’s incumbency and PT base in a traditional stronghold, offset by ACM Neto’s strong name recognition from his 2022 challenge and consistent support in capital and opposition-leaning areas. Ongoing campaign events, including interior tours and debates, plus voter indecision around 12-13%, sustain volatility. Lula’s alignment with Jerônimo and accusations of ACM Neto’s positioning add polarization that could shift preferences. Separation may emerge from final campaign momentum, turnout patterns, or late swings in key demographics before the October 6 first round.
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ET
ভলিউম
$132,061শেষ তারিখ
Oct 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling for the Bahia gubernatorial race shows a technical tie or narrow ACM Neto lead between the incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT) and the former Salvador mayor (União Brasil), with both hovering near 37-48% depending on the survey. This closeness reflects Jerônimo’s incumbency and PT base in a traditional stronghold, offset by ACM Neto’s strong name recognition from his 2022 challenge and consistent support in capital and opposition-leaning areas. Ongoing campaign events, including interior tours and debates, plus voter indecision around 12-13%, sustain volatility. Lula’s alignment with Jerônimo and accusations of ACM Neto’s positioning add polarization that could shift preferences. Separation may emerge from final campaign momentum, turnout patterns, or late swings in key demographics before the October 6 first round.
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ভলিউম
$132,061শেষ তারিখ
Oct 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for the Bahia gubernatorial race shows a technical tie or narrow ACM Neto lead between the incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT) and the former Salvador mayor (União Brasil), with both hovering near 37-48% depending on the survey. This closeness reflects Jerônimo’s incumbency and PT base in a traditional stronghold, offset by ACM Neto’s strong name recognition from his 2022 challenge and consistent support in capital and opposition-leaning areas. Ongoing campaign events, including interior tours and debates, plus voter indecision around 12-13%, sustain volatility. Lula’s alignment with Jerônimo and accusations of ACM Neto’s positioning add polarization that could shift preferences. Separation may emerge from final campaign momentum, turnout patterns, or late swings in key demographics before the October 6 first round.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা