Lula maintains a clear lead in recent Minas Gerais polling for the October 2026 first-round presidential vote, with surveys from Datafolha, Real Time Big Data, Datatempo, and Quaest showing him at 36–39% against Flávio Bolsonaro at 28–34% and Romeu Zema trailing in single digits. As the incumbent Workers’ Party candidate seeking re-election, Lula benefits from consolidated support in Brazil’s second-largest electoral college, where every president since redemocratization has prevailed. The right-wing vote remains fragmented across Bolsonaro, Zema, Ronaldo Caiado, and lower-polling names, limiting any single challenger’s path to first place. Recent August polling shows modest narrowing of Lula’s margin in some samples but no reversal of the ordering, consistent with trader consensus on his probability of topping the Minas Gerais ballot.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLula 83%
Flavio Bolsonaro 16.7%
Zema <1%
Clariana Barao <1%
$17,839 Vol.
$17,839 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Lula
83%
Flavio Bolsonaro
17%
Zema
<1%
Clariana Barao
<1%
Edmilson Costa
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
<1%
Hertz Dias
<1%
Pablo Marçal
<1%
Renan Santos
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
<1%
Samara
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
<1%
Lula 83%
Flavio Bolsonaro 16.7%
Zema <1%
Clariana Barao <1%
$17,839 Vol.
$17,839 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Lula
$6,208 Vol.
83%
Flavio Bolsonaro
$3,579 Vol.
17%
Zema
$1,931 Vol.
<1%
Clariana Barao
$844 Vol.
<1%
Edmilson Costa
$525 Vol.
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$485 Vol.
<1%
Hertz Dias
$484 Vol.
<1%
Pablo Marçal
$986 Vol.
<1%
Renan Santos
$608 Vol.
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
$473 Vol.
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$491 Vol.
<1%
Samara
$649 Vol.
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$576 Vol.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Minas Gerais, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Minas Gerais.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Minas Gerais. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula maintains a clear lead in recent Minas Gerais polling for the October 2026 first-round presidential vote, with surveys from Datafolha, Real Time Big Data, Datatempo, and Quaest showing him at 36–39% against Flávio Bolsonaro at 28–34% and Romeu Zema trailing in single digits. As the incumbent Workers’ Party candidate seeking re-election, Lula benefits from consolidated support in Brazil’s second-largest electoral college, where every president since redemocratization has prevailed. The right-wing vote remains fragmented across Bolsonaro, Zema, Ronaldo Caiado, and lower-polling names, limiting any single challenger’s path to first place. Recent August polling shows modest narrowing of Lula’s margin in some samples but no reversal of the ordering, consistent with trader consensus on his probability of topping the Minas Gerais ballot.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Minas Gerais, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Minas Gerais.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Minas Gerais. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Minas Gerais.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Minas Gerais. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 17, 2026, 6:31 AM ET
ভলিউম
$17,839শেষ তারিখ
Oct 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 17, 2026, 6:31 AM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Minas Gerais, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Minas Gerais.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Minas Gerais. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula maintains a clear lead in recent Minas Gerais polling for the October 2026 first-round presidential vote, with surveys from Datafolha, Real Time Big Data, Datatempo, and Quaest showing him at 36–39% against Flávio Bolsonaro at 28–34% and Romeu Zema trailing in single digits. As the incumbent Workers’ Party candidate seeking re-election, Lula benefits from consolidated support in Brazil’s second-largest electoral college, where every president since redemocratization has prevailed. The right-wing vote remains fragmented across Bolsonaro, Zema, Ronaldo Caiado, and lower-polling names, limiting any single challenger’s path to first place. Recent August polling shows modest narrowing of Lula’s margin in some samples but no reversal of the ordering, consistent with trader consensus on his probability of topping the Minas Gerais ballot.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Minas Gerais, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Minas Gerais.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Minas Gerais. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Minas Gerais.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Minas Gerais. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
ভলিউম
$17,839শেষ তারিখ
Oct 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 17, 2026, 6:31 AM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Lula maintains a clear lead in recent Minas Gerais polling for the October 2026 first-round presidential vote, with surveys from Datafolha, Real Time Big Data, Datatempo, and Quaest showing him at 36–39% against Flávio Bolsonaro at 28–34% and Romeu Zema trailing in single digits. As the incumbent Workers’ Party candidate seeking re-election, Lula benefits from consolidated support in Brazil’s second-largest electoral college, where every president since redemocratization has prevailed. The right-wing vote remains fragmented across Bolsonaro, Zema, Ronaldo Caiado, and lower-polling names, limiting any single challenger’s path to first place. Recent August polling shows modest narrowing of Lula’s margin in some samples but no reversal of the ordering, consistent with trader consensus on his probability of topping the Minas Gerais ballot.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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