Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT), the incumbent seeking reelection, leads the Bahia governor market at 61.5% amid a rematch against ACM Neto (União Brasil) at 37%, with minor candidates below 1%. Recent September polls show the first-round contest remaining tightly contested or statistically tied, with both frontrunners in the mid-to-high 40s and high undecided or rejection rates near 40%. Active campaigning has intensified, including Jerônimo's emphasis on expanding full-time public schooling and joint events with federal allies, while ACM Neto consolidates a broad center-right coalition. The first round occurs October 4, with a potential runoff on October 25. Traders appear to price in the structural advantages of incumbency and the PT's long-running state organization over poll volatility.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertJerônimo Rodrigues 61%
ACM Neto 32%
João Roma <1%
José Carlos Aleluia <1%
$154,006 Vol.
$154,006 Vol.
4. Okt. 2026
Jerônimo Rodrigues
61%
ACM Neto
37%
João Roma
<1%
José Carlos Aleluia
<1%
Kleber Rosa
<1%
Rui Costa
<1%
Bruno Soares Reis
<1%
Jerônimo Rodrigues 61%
ACM Neto 32%
João Roma <1%
José Carlos Aleluia <1%
$154,006 Vol.
$154,006 Vol.
4. Okt. 2026
Jerônimo Rodrigues
$50,787 Vol.
61%
ACM Neto
$61,095 Vol.
37%
João Roma
$5,186 Vol.
<1%
José Carlos Aleluia
$11,986 Vol.
<1%
Kleber Rosa
$13,880 Vol.
<1%
Rui Costa
$5,747 Vol.
<1%
Bruno Soares Reis
$5,325 Vol.
<1%
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT), the incumbent seeking reelection, leads the Bahia governor market at 61.5% amid a rematch against ACM Neto (União Brasil) at 37%, with minor candidates below 1%. Recent September polls show the first-round contest remaining tightly contested or statistically tied, with both frontrunners in the mid-to-high 40s and high undecided or rejection rates near 40%. Active campaigning has intensified, including Jerônimo's emphasis on expanding full-time public schooling and joint events with federal allies, while ACM Neto consolidates a broad center-right coalition. The first round occurs October 4, with a potential runoff on October 25. Traders appear to price in the structural advantages of incumbency and the PT's long-running state organization over poll volatility.
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Markt eröffnet: Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ET
Volumen
$154,006Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT), the incumbent seeking reelection, leads the Bahia governor market at 61.5% amid a rematch against ACM Neto (União Brasil) at 37%, with minor candidates below 1%. Recent September polls show the first-round contest remaining tightly contested or statistically tied, with both frontrunners in the mid-to-high 40s and high undecided or rejection rates near 40%. Active campaigning has intensified, including Jerônimo's emphasis on expanding full-time public schooling and joint events with federal allies, while ACM Neto consolidates a broad center-right coalition. The first round occurs October 4, with a potential runoff on October 25. Traders appear to price in the structural advantages of incumbency and the PT's long-running state organization over poll volatility.
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$154,006Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT), the incumbent seeking reelection, leads the Bahia governor market at 61.5% amid a rematch against ACM Neto (União Brasil) at 37%, with minor candidates below 1%. Recent September polls show the first-round contest remaining tightly contested or statistically tied, with both frontrunners in the mid-to-high 40s and high undecided or rejection rates near 40%. Active campaigning has intensified, including Jerônimo's emphasis on expanding full-time public schooling and joint events with federal allies, while ACM Neto consolidates a broad center-right coalition. The first round occurs October 4, with a potential runoff on October 25. Traders appear to price in the structural advantages of incumbency and the PT's long-running state organization over poll volatility.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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