Elon Musk’s August 2026 posting pace on X has settled near the low-to-mid 800s, leaving the 840-879 and 880-919 brackets in a tight contest at 45.6% and 54.5% implied probability. Daily volumes have fluctuated sharply with news cycles, company milestones at xAI and Tesla, and political commentary, with trackers showing clusters around 40-64 posts in lighter three-day windows and spikes above 300 in busier weeks. Weekend slowdowns and the absence of major late-month catalysts have capped momentum, while historical patterns of 30-50 daily posts on average keep both leading ranges plausible. Final resolution hinges on the last 24-48 hours of activity and precise counting of original posts, quotes, and reposts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert840-879 62.5%
880-919 37%
920-959 1.0%
960-999 <1%
$543,207 Vol.
$543,207 Vol.
840-879
63%
880-919
37%
920-959
1%
960-999
<1%
1000+
<1%
840-879 62.5%
880-919 37%
920-959 1.0%
960-999 <1%
$543,207 Vol.
$543,207 Vol.
840-879
63%
880-919
37%
920-959
1%
960-999
<1%
1000+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 24, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://x.com/elonmuskAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://x.com/elonmuskAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s August 2026 posting pace on X has settled near the low-to-mid 800s, leaving the 840-879 and 880-919 brackets in a tight contest at 45.6% and 54.5% implied probability. Daily volumes have fluctuated sharply with news cycles, company milestones at xAI and Tesla, and political commentary, with trackers showing clusters around 40-64 posts in lighter three-day windows and spikes above 300 in busier weeks. Weekend slowdowns and the absence of major late-month catalysts have capped momentum, while historical patterns of 30-50 daily posts on average keep both leading ranges plausible. Final resolution hinges on the last 24-48 hours of activity and precise counting of original posts, quotes, and reposts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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