Persistent rain, thunderstorms, and extensive cloud cover across Guangzhou today are limiting solar heating and promoting evaporative cooling, keeping the daytime maximum well below 36 °C according to multiple forecast models. Official guidance and real-time observations indicate a high near 30–32 °C, consistent with the climatological average of 33 °C for the date but tempered by the unstable, moist air mass. Trader consensus at near-100 % probability for the 33 °C outcome reflects this strong model agreement and ongoing precipitation; a rapid clearing of skies before peak heating would be required to challenge that positioning, an outcome not supported by current guidance.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Guangzhou am 31. August?
33°C 100.0%
26°C oder darunter <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$50,079 Vol.
$50,079 Vol.
26°C oder darunter
Nein
27°C
Nein
28°C
Nein
29°C
Nein
30°C
Nein
31°C
Nein
32°C
Nein
33°C
Ja
34°C
Nein
35°C
Nein
36°C oder höher
Nein
33°C 100.0%
26°C oder darunter <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$50,079 Vol.
$50,079 Vol.
26°C oder darunter
Nein
27°C
Nein
28°C
Nein
29°C
Nein
30°C
Nein
31°C
Nein
32°C
Nein
33°C
Ja
34°C
Nein
35°C
Nein
36°C oder höher
Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Persistent rain, thunderstorms, and extensive cloud cover across Guangzhou today are limiting solar heating and promoting evaporative cooling, keeping the daytime maximum well below 36 °C according to multiple forecast models. Official guidance and real-time observations indicate a high near 30–32 °C, consistent with the climatological average of 33 °C for the date but tempered by the unstable, moist air mass. Trader consensus at near-100 % probability for the 33 °C outcome reflects this strong model agreement and ongoing precipitation; a rapid clearing of skies before peak heating would be required to challenge that positioning, an outcome not supported by current guidance.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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