Recent forecast models from the India Meteorological Department and global ensembles indicate a daily minimum temperature in Lucknow on September 1 most likely between 25–27°C, driven by persistent monsoon moisture, high humidity near 80–95%, and widespread cloud cover from thunderstorms that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Above-normal minimum temperatures are expected across much of India this September amid strengthening El Niño conditions, which favor drier but still warm patterns after the hottest August on record. Local factors such as wind speed, exact timing of rainfall, and urban heat effects create the narrow spread among leading outcomes, with lower probabilities for 22–24°C reflecting potential for clearer skies or heavier rain. Updated IMD nowcasts and model runs tomorrow morning will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Lucknow am 1. September?
22°C 49%
26°C 49%
25°C 29%
27°C 27%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
49%
23°C
26%
24°C
26%
25°C
29%
26°C
31%
27°C
27%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
22°C 49%
26°C 49%
25°C 29%
27°C 27%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
49%
23°C
26%
24°C
26%
25°C
29%
26°C
31%
27°C
27%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from the India Meteorological Department and global ensembles indicate a daily minimum temperature in Lucknow on September 1 most likely between 25–27°C, driven by persistent monsoon moisture, high humidity near 80–95%, and widespread cloud cover from thunderstorms that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Above-normal minimum temperatures are expected across much of India this September amid strengthening El Niño conditions, which favor drier but still warm patterns after the hottest August on record. Local factors such as wind speed, exact timing of rainfall, and urban heat effects create the narrow spread among leading outcomes, with lower probabilities for 22–24°C reflecting potential for clearer skies or heavier rain. Updated IMD nowcasts and model runs tomorrow morning will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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